Phillies vs. Pirates Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, April 11, 2024

Following a big two-homer game in a loss to the Tigers, Edward Olivares leads the Pittsburgh Pirates (9-3) into action as +113 underdogs against the Philadelphia Phillies (6-6). First pitch from Citizens Bank Park at 6:40 PM ET on Thursday, live on MLB Network.

Ranger Suarez gets the starting nod for Philadelphia while Jared Jones is Pittsburgh’s starter for the contest.

Phillies vs. Pirates Odds

  • Phillies odds to win: -134
  • Pirates odds to win: +113
  • Spread: Phillies -1.5
  • Total: 9 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Thursday, April 11, 2024
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • TV: MLB Network
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    Who Will Win Phillies vs. Pirates?

    Phillies and Pirates Betting Trends

    The Phillies have won 50% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (4-4).

    When playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -134 or shorter, Philadelphia has a 4-4 record (winning 50% of its games).

    This season, the Pirates have been the underdog eight times and won seven of those games.

    Pittsburgh has been at least a +113 moneyline underdog three times this season and won each of those games.

    The Phillies have played in 12 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total five times (5-7-0).

    So far this season, the Pirates and their opponents have hit the over in eight of their 12 games with a total.

    Phillies Stats & Insights

    The Phillies have the No. 25 offense in MLB play scoring 3.8 runs per game (45 total runs).

    Philadelphia ranks 19th in baseball with 11 total home runs.

    The Phillies rank 19th in the majors with a .234 batting average.

    Philadelphia strikes out 9.3 times per game to rank 21st in MLB.

    The Phillies pitching staff ranks eighth in the majors with a collective 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings.

    Philadelphia has a 3.92 team ERA that ranks 13th among all MLB pitching staffs.

    Pirates Stats & Insights

    The Pirates have scored the seventh-most runs in the league this season with 69.

    Pittsburgh’s 12 home runs rank 15th in Major League Baseball.

    The Pirates’ .270 batting average is among the best in baseball, ranking fourth in MLB.

    Pittsburgh ranks 22nd with an average of 9.4 strikeouts per game.

    The Pirates average the 17th-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.4) in the majors this season.

    Pittsburgh has the ninth-best ERA (3.66) in the majors this season.

    Phillies Key Players to Watch

    The Phillies will send Suarez (1-0) out to make his third start of the season.

    Bryce Harper is batting .214 this season with a team-high three home runs and seven RBI.

    Brandon Marsh is batting .333 with three home runs and seven RBI, all three of which rank first for Philadelphia this season.

    Kyle Schwarber is slashing .208/.296/.333 this season for the Phillies.

    Alec Bohm leads Philadelphia in runs batted in with seven while batting .238.

    Pirates Key Players to Watch

    The Pirates’ Jones will make his third start of the season.

    Connor Joe leads the Pirates with a team-high batting average of .324.

    Bryan Reynolds’ 10 runs batted in are a team-high mark.

    Olivares has a team-best three homers.

    Ke’Bryan Hayes is hitting .313 with three doubles and seven walks.

    Phillies and Pirates Injuries

    Phillies: Rafael Marchan: 10 Day IL (Back), Orion Kerkering: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Taijuan Walker: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Dylan Covey: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Luis Ortiz: 15 Day IL (Ankle), Michael Rucker: 15 Day IL (Hand)

    Pirates: Yasmani Grandal: 10 Day IL (Foot), Ji-Hwan Bae: 10 Day IL (Hip), Jason Delay: 10 Day IL (Knee), Ryan Borucki: 15 Day IL (Left triceps inflammation), Dauri Moreta: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Johan Oviedo: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Endy Rodriguez: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Phillies vs. Pirates Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Pirates 4, Phillies 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
  • How to Bet on Phillies vs. Pirates

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