Mets vs. Pirates Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, April 15, 2024

The New York Mets (7-8) are favorites (-126) on the moneyline when they take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (11-5) Monday at 7:10 PM ET, live on SportsNet PT.

New York’s Adrian Houser gets the start, and he’ll go against Pittsburgh’s Martin Perez.

Mets vs. Pirates Odds

  • Mets odds to win: -126
  • Pirates odds to win: +106
  • Spread: Mets -1.5
  • Total: 8.5 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Monday, April 15, 2024
  • Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • TV: SportsNet PT
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    Who Will Win Mets vs. Pirates?

    Mets and Pirates Betting Trends

    The Mets have won 33.3% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (3-6).

    In games it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -126 or shorter, New York has a 2-5 record (winning just 28.6% of its games).

    This season, the Pirates have been the underdog 12 times and won nine, or 75%, of those games.

    Pittsburgh has a record of 6-2 when it’s set as an underdog of +106 or more by sportsbooks this season.

    In the 15 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Mets, they have combined with opponents to go over the total seven times (7-8-0).

    The Pirates and their opponents have gone over the total this season in nine of their 16 opportunities.

    Mets Stats & Insights

    The Mets are the 16th-highest scoring team in MLB play averaging 4.6 runs per game (69 total).

    New York is 10th-best in MLB action with 17 total home runs.

    The Mets’ .248 batting average ranks 14th in MLB.

    New York’s batters strike out 7.3 times per game, the second-fewest strikeouts in the majors.

    The Mets pitching staff ranks fourth in MLB with a collective 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings.

    New York’s 3.51 team ERA ranks seventh among all MLB pitching staffs.

    Pirates Stats & Insights

    The Pirates have scored 87 runs this season, which ranks seventh in MLB.

    Pittsburgh ranks 15th in Major League Baseball with 16 home runs.

    The Pirates have a team batting average of .259 this season, which ranks seventh among MLB teams.

    Pittsburgh is a team with a lot of swing and miss this season, ranking 26th with an average of 10 strikeouts per game.

    The Pirates have an 8.4 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 18th in the big leagues.

    Pittsburgh pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.49 ERA this year, sixth-best in baseball.

    Mets Key Players to Watch

    The Mets will send Houser (0-1) to the mound to make his third start of the season.

    Pete Alonso is batting .271 this season with a team-high six home runs.

    Brandon Nimmo leads New York in runs batted in with 12 while batting .236 with two homers.

    Starling Marte has 17 hits this season and a slash line of .279/.343/.393.

    Jeff McNeil is batting .222 with an OBP of .352 and a slugging percentage of .311 this season.

    Pirates Key Players to Watch

    The Pirates will hand the ball to Perez (1-0) for his fourth start of the season.

    Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates with 11 runs batted in.

    Connor Joe’s .292 batting average paces his team.

    Ke’Bryan Hayes is hitting .290 with five doubles and 11 walks.

    Edward Olivares has hit three home runs to pace his team.

    Mets and Pirates Injuries

    Mets: Max Kranick: 15 Day IL (Undisclosed), Sean Reid-Foley: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Tylor Megill: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), David Peterson: 60 Day IL (Hip), Ronny Mauricio: 60 Day IL (Knee), Kodai Senga: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Pirates: Yasmani Grandal: 10 Day IL (Foot), Jason Delay: 10 Day IL (Knee), Marco Gonzales: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Ryan Borucki: 15 Day IL (Left triceps inflammation), Dauri Moreta: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Johan Oviedo: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Endy Rodriguez: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Mets vs. Pirates Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mets 6, Pirates 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Mets vs. Pirates

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