Mets vs. Pirates Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, April 17, 2024

The New York Mets (9-8) roll into Wednesday’s matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates (11-7) looking to extend a three-game winning streak. The contest starts at 1:10 PM ET on SportsNet PT with the Mets listed as -161 favorites on the moneyline.

New York’s Luis Severino gets the start, and he’ll go against Pittsburgh’s Bailey Falter.

Mets vs. Pirates Odds

  • Mets odds to win: -161
  • Pirates odds to win: +135
  • Spread: Mets -1.5
  • Total: 8 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Wednesday, April 17, 2024
  • Time: 1:10 PM ET
  • TV: SportsNet PT
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    Who Will Win Mets vs. Pirates?

    Mets and Pirates Betting Trends

    The Mets have been favored on the moneyline 11 total times this season. They’ve gone 5-6 in those games.

    New York has played as moneyline favorites of -161 or shorter in just one game this season, which it lost.

    This season, the Pirates have been the underdog 14 times and won nine, or 64.3%, of those games.

    Pittsburgh has played as an underdog of +135 or more twice this season and won both games.

    The Mets have had an over/under set by bookmakers 17 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in eight of those games (8-9-0).

    The Pirates’ games have gone over the total in 10 of their 18 chances.

    Mets Stats & Insights

    The Mets rank 17th in runs scored with 78, 4.6 per game.

    New York is 16th in MLB action with 17 home runs. They average one per game.

    The Mets’ .243 batting average ranks 14th in MLB.

    New York strikes out 7.3 times per game to rank second in baseball.

    The pitching staff for the Mets has a collective 9.9 K/9, the second-best in the majors.

    New York’s 3.33 team ERA ranks sixth among all MLB pitching staffs.

    Pirates Stats & Insights

    The Pirates are among the highest scoring teams in the majors, ranking 10th with 91 total runs this season.

    Pittsburgh has hit 16 homers this season, which ranks 18th in the majors.

    The Pirates have a team batting average of .247 this season, which ranks 10th among MLB teams.

    Pittsburgh ranks just 27th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 10.2 whiffs per contest.

    The Pirates average the 18th-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.4) in the majors this season.

    Pittsburgh has pitched to a 3.64 ERA this season, which ranks ninth in baseball.

    Mets Key Players to Watch

    Severino (1-1 with a 3.00 ERA and 17 strikeouts in 15 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Mets, his fourth of the season.

    Pete Alonso leads New York in home runs this season with six while driving in 10 runs.

    Brandon Nimmo leads New York in runs batted in with 13 while batting .203 with two homers.

    Starling Marte is slashing .271/.329/.386 this season for the Mets.

    Jeff McNeil has 11 hits and an OBP of .328 to go with a slugging percentage of .308 this season.

    Pirates Key Players to Watch

    Falter (1-0) will take the mound for the Pirates, his fourth start of the season.

    Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates with 12 runs batted in.

    Connor Joe is hitting .291 to pace his team.

    Ke’Bryan Hayes is hitting .277 with five doubles and 12 walks.

    Jack Suwinski is batting .185 with a double, two home runs and eight walks.

    Mets and Pirates Injuries

    Mets: Max Kranick: 15 Day IL (Undisclosed), Sean Reid-Foley: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Tylor Megill: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), David Peterson: 60 Day IL (Hip), Ronny Mauricio: 60 Day IL (Knee), Kodai Senga: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Brett Baty: day-to-day (Hamstring)

    Pirates: Yasmani Grandal: 10 Day IL (Foot), Jason Delay: 10 Day IL (Knee), Marco Gonzales: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Ryan Borucki: 15 Day IL (Left triceps inflammation), Dauri Moreta: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Johan Oviedo: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Endy Rodriguez: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Mets vs. Pirates Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mets 6, Pirates 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • How to Bet on Mets vs. Pirates

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