Guardians vs. Red Sox Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, April 18, 2024

Connor Wong leads the Boston Red Sox (10-9) into Thursday’s matchup with the Cleveland Guardians (12-6) on a two-game homer streak. His Red Sox are underdogs for the contest, however, with bookmakers naming the Guardians as -111 moneyline favorites. The game starts at 1:35 PM ET from Fenway Park, live on NESN.

Carlos Carrasco will get the ball for Cleveland while Boston will counter with Brennan Bernardino.

Guardians vs. Red Sox Odds

  • Guardians odds to win: -111
  • Red Sox odds to win: -107
  • Spread: Guardians -1.5
  • Total: 8.5 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Thursday, April 18, 2024
  • Time: 1:35 PM ET
  • TV: NESN
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    Who Will Win Guardians vs. Red Sox?

    Guardians and Red Sox Betting Trends

    The Guardians have been favored on the moneyline nine total times this season. They’ve finished 5-4 in those games.

    Cleveland has gone 5-3 (winning 62.5% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -111 or shorter.

    The Red Sox have entered the game as underdogs eight times this season and won three of those games.

    Boston has a record of 3-5 when it’s set as an underdog of -107 or more by sportsbooks this season.

    The Guardians have combined with opponents to go over the total 10 times this season for a 10-7-1 record against the over/under.

    The Red Sox’s games have gone over the total in eight of their 19 chances.

    Guardians Stats & Insights

    The Guardians are the eighth-highest scoring team in baseball, averaging 5.4 runs per game (97 total).

    Cleveland averages 1.0 home run per game to rank 16th in MLB action with 18 total home runs .

    The Guardians are ninth in MLB with a .250 batting average.

    Cleveland strikes out 8.0 times per game to rank sixth in the majors.

    The 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings compiled by the Guardians pitching staff ranks seventh in MLB.

    Cleveland’s 3.09 team ERA ranks fifth among all MLB pitching staffs.

    Red Sox Stats & Insights

    The Red Sox have scored 81 runs (4.3 per game) this season, which ranks 18th in MLB.

    Boston ranks third in Major League Baseball with 24 home runs.

    The Red Sox rank 23rd in MLB with a .227 team batting average.

    Boston ranks just 28th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 10.1 whiffs per contest.

    The Red Sox have a 9.5 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, fifth-best in baseball.

    Boston pitchers have the lowest combined ERA in the majors at 2.74.

    Guardians Key Players to Watch

    Carrasco makes the start for the Guardians, his fourth of the season. He is 0-1 with a 3.55 ERA and 11 strikeouts in 12 2/3 innings pitched.

    Josh Naylor leads Cleveland in home runs this season with four while driving in 12 runs.

    Jose Ramirez leads Cleveland in runs batted in with 15 while batting .250 with three homers.

    Steven Kwan leads Cleveland with a .354 batting average while slugging two homers and driving in five runs.

    Andres Gimenez has collected 19 hits this season and has an OBP of .346. He’s slugging .371 on the year.

    Red Sox Key Players to Watch

    The Red Sox will send out Bernardino for his first start of the season.

    Tyler O’Neill leads the Red Sox with seven home runs and has put up a team-high batting average of .313.

    Triston Casas has put up nine runs batted in to pace his team.

    Jarren Duran is batting .304 with five doubles, a home run and six walks.

    Masataka Yoshida has two doubles, a home run and five walks while batting .215.

    Guardians and Red Sox Injuries

    Guardians: Sam Hentges: 15 Day IL (Finger), Eli Morgan: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Shane Bieber: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Gavin Williams: 15 Day IL (Elbow), James Karinchak: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Angel Martinez: 60 Day IL (Foot), Trevor Stephan: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Red Sox: Romy Gonzalez: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Rob Refsnyder: 10 Day IL (Toe), Vaughn Grissom: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Trevor Story: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Nick Pivetta: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Bryan Mata: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Garrett Whitlock: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Isaiah Campbell: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Lucas Giolito: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Chris Murphy: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Liam Hendriks: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tyler O’Neill: day-to-day (Head)

    Guardians vs. Red Sox Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Red Sox 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Guardians vs. Red Sox

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