Cubs vs. Marlins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, April 20, 2024

The Chicago Cubs (12-7) hope to avoid an upset as -215 favorites when they take on Bryan De La Cruz (with homers in two straight contests) and the Miami Marlins (4-16). First pitch is at 2:20 PM ET Saturday, live from Wrigley Field and airing on BSFL.

Javier Assad will get the ball for Chicago while Miami will counter with Jesus Luzardo.

Cubs vs. Marlins Odds

  • Cubs odds to win: -215
  • Marlins odds to win: +179
  • Spread: Cubs -1.5
  • Total: 8.5 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Saturday, April 20, 2024
  • Time: 2:20 PM ET
  • TV: BSFL
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    Who Will Win Cubs vs. Marlins?

    Cubs and Marlins Betting Trends

    The Cubs have been favored on the moneyline a total of five times this season, and they’ve won each of those games.

    Chicago has played as moneyline favorites of -215 or shorter in only two games this season, which it won both.

    The Marlins have won four, or 30.8%, of the 13 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

    Miami has played as an underdog of +179 or more twice this season and won both games.

    The Cubs have played in 19 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 10 times (10-9-0).

    Games involving the Marlins have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 12 of 20 chances this season.

    Cubs Stats & Insights

    The Cubs score the sixth-most runs in baseball (109 total, 5.7 per game).

    Chicago averages 1.1 home runs per game to rank 13th in MLB action with 21 total home runs .

    The Cubs’ .247 batting average ranks 13th in the majors.

    Chicago strikes out 8.3 times per game to rank 12th in MLB.

    The pitching staff for the Cubs has a collective 9.3 K/9, the sixth-best in MLB.

    Chicago has the 14th-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (4.04).

    Marlins Stats & Insights

    The Marlins have scored 73 runs (3.7 per game) this season, which ranks 24th in MLB.

    Miami has hit 16 homers this season, which ranks 24th in the majors.

    The Marlins have a team batting average of just .213 this season, which ranks 26th among MLB teams.

    Miami ranks 13th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of eight Ks per contest.

    The Marlins have an 8.9 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 12th in the big leagues.

    Miami has the 27th-ranked ERA (5.03) in the majors this season.

    Cubs Key Players to Watch

    Assad (2-0 with a 2.16 ERA and 18 strikeouts in 16 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Cubs, his fourth of the season.

    Michael Busch leads Chicago in batting average (.317), home runs (six) and runs batted in (13) this season.

    Ian Happ is batting .227 with an OBP of .341 and a slugging percentage of .347 this season.

    Cody Bellinger leads Chicago in RBI with 13 while batting .216 with three home runs.

    Christopher Morel has collected 15 hits this season and has an OBP of .266. He’s slugging .375 on the year.

    Marlins Key Players to Watch

    Luzardo (0-2) will take to the mound for the Marlins and make his fifth start of the season.

    Luis Arraez has three doubles, a triple and seven walks while batting .263.

    De La Cruz’s four home runs and .286 batting average both pace his team.

    Jazz Chisholm is batting .232 with four doubles, two home runs and 10 walks.

    Josh Bell is hitting .192 with three doubles, two home runs and 10 walks.

    Cubs and Marlins Injuries

    Cubs: Seiya Suzuki: 10 Day IL (Oblique strain), Justin Steele: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Julian Merryweather: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Caleb Kilian: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Marlins: Jake Burger: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Christian Bethancourt: 10 Day IL (Illness), Xavier Edwards: 10 Day IL (Foot), Andrew Jacob Puk: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Braxton Garrett: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), JT Chargois: 15 Day IL (Neck), Sandy Alcantara: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Josh Simpson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eury Pérez: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Cubs vs. Marlins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Cubs 6, Marlins 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Cubs vs. Marlins

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