The Los Angeles Lakers are slight 3.5-point underdogs for a decisive Game 4 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Denver Nuggets at Crypto.com Arena on Saturday, beginning at 8:30 PM ET on ABC. The Nuggets are on top 3-0 in the series. The over/under is 220 in the matchup.
Nuggets vs. Lakers Odds
How to Bet on Nuggets vs. Lakers
Game Time and Information
Who Will Win Nuggets vs. Lakers?
Nuggets and Lakers Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
The Nuggets have a 30-30-2 record against the spread in games they were favored by 3.5 points or more this season.
The Lakers are 9-10 against the spread when an underdog by 3.5 points or more this year.
The two teams average a combined 12.9 more points per game (232.9) than this game’s total of 220 points.
Denver and Los Angeles have seen its opponents average a combined 7.0 more points per game than the point total of 220 set in this game.
The Nuggets’ average point total in outings this season is 224.5, 4.5 points higher than the over/under in this game.
The average point total for Los Angeles this year is 15.5 points higher than this game’s over/under.
Denver’s ATS record is 38-42-2 this season.
The Lakers have a 38-44-0 record against the spread this year.
Nuggets Stats & Insights
The Nuggets’ +431 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 5.3 points per game) is a result of scoring 114.9 points per game (14th in the NBA) while giving up 109.6 per contest (sixth in the league).
The 44.4 rebounds per game the Nuggets average rank seventh in the NBA, and are 2.1 more than the 42.3 their opponents collect per contest.
Denver knocks down 11.7 three-pointers per game (25th in the league), while its opponents have made 11.2 on average.
The Nuggets average 119.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (fifth in the league), and allow 113.9 points per 100 possessions (eighth in the NBA).
During the 2023-24 season, the Nuggets are scoring 7.3 more points per home game on average than on the road (118.5 at home, 111.2 on the road), but are conceding 1.8 fewer points per home game compared to road games (108.7 at home, 110.5 on the road).
Lakers Stats & Insights
The Lakers have a +49 scoring differential, putting up 118.0 points per game (sixth in league) and giving up 117.4 (23rd in NBA).
Los Angeles is 18th in the league at 43.1 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 44.0 its opponents average.
The Lakers make 11.8 three-pointers per game (24th in the league), 2.5 fewer than their opponents.
The Lakers’ 116.7 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 15th in the NBA, and the 116.1 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 16th in the league.
Los Angeles scores 119.0 points per game at home, and 117.0 away.
Nuggets Key Players to Watch
Nikola Jokic accumulates 26.4 points and 12.4 rebounds per game, with 9.0 assists.
The Nuggets get 2.7 three-pointers per game out of Michael Porter Jr..
Jokic averages 1.4 steals per game, while Peyton Watson swats 1.1 shots per contest.
Lakers Key Players to Watch
Anthony Davis has been among the team’s best in both scoring (24.7 points per game) and rebounding (12.6 rebounds per game) while adding 3.5 assists per contest.
The Lakers have gotten 25.7 points, 8.3 assists and 7.3 rebounds out of LeBron James this season.
D’Angelo Russell makes 3.0 treys per game.
Davis’ 1.2 steals and 2.3 blocks per game are important to the Lakers’ defensive effort.
Nuggets vs. Lakers Prediction
Over (220)
Nuggets 116 – Lakers 113