NEWSLETTER
The Boston Celtics are heavy 10.5-point favorites for Game 4 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Miami Heat at FTX Arena on Monday, starting at 7:30 PM ET on TNT. The Celtics hold a 2-1 series lead. The matchup’s point total is set at 203.5.
Celtics vs. Heat Odds
How to Bet on Celtics vs. Heat
Game Time and Information
Who Will Win Celtics vs. Heat?
Celtics and Heat Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
In games this season they were favored by 10.5 points or more, the Celtics have a 17-13 record against the spread.
The two teams average a combined 27.2 more points per game, 230.7, than this game’s over/under of 203.5 points.
Opponents of the two teams average a combined 14.1 more points per game, 217.6, than this game’s over/under of 203.5 points.
The Celtics’ average total in matchups this year has been 229.8, 26.3 points higher than the over/under in this particular game.
The average point total for Miami this season is 15.0 points higher than this game’s over/under.
Boston’s ATS record is 42-36-4 this season.
So far this year, the Heat have put together a 40-39-3 record against the spread.
Celtics Stats & Insights
The Celtics are outscoring opponents by 11.4 points per game with a +930 scoring differential overall. They put up 120.6 points per game (second in the NBA) and give up 109.2 per contest (fifth in the league).
The Celtics win the rebound battle by 3.0 boards on average. They collect 46.3 rebounds per game, which ranks second in the league, while their opponents pull down 43.3 per outing.
Boston hits 16.5 three-pointers per game (first in the league), 3.6 more than its opponents (12.9).
The Celtics’ 124.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank first in the NBA, and the 112.4 points they allow per 100 possessions rank third in the league.
The Celtics have been much better offensively at home, where they score 123.1 points per game, compared to road games, where they put up 118.0 per game. Defensively, they are better at home, where they give up 107.9 points per game, versus on the road, where they let their opponents to average 110.5 per game.
Heat Stats & Insights
The Heat put up 110.1 points per game (26th in league) while giving up 108.4 per contest (third in NBA). They have a +144 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 1.7 points per game.
Miami is 25th in the league at 42.3 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 42.8 its opponents average.
The Heat hit 12.5 three-pointers per game (18th in the league) at a 37.0% rate (12th in NBA), compared to the 13.0 their opponents make, shooting 35.3% from deep.
The Heat average 115.0 points per 100 possessions (21st in league), while conceding 113.1 points per 100 possessions (fifth in NBA).
At home, Miami scores 112.1 points per game. On the road, it scores 108.1.
Celtics Key Players to Watch
Jayson Tatum averages 26.9 points and 8.1 rebounds per game, with 4.9 assists.
Derrick White scores 15.2 points per game while adding 4.2 rebounds and 5.2 assists for the Celtics.
The Celtics get 3.1 three-pointers per game out of Tatum.
Jaylen Brown averages 1.2 steals per game, while Kristaps Porzingis swats 1.9 shots per contest.
Heat Key Players to Watch
Bam Adebayo has shown out this season to lead active Heat players in points (19.3 per game), rebounds (10.4 per game), and assists (3.9 per game).
Duncan Robinson averages 2.8 made threes per game.
Adebayo is a strong defender with 1.1 steals and 0.9 blocks per game.
Celtics vs. Heat Prediction
Over (203.5)
Celtics 116 – Heat 108
