NEWSLETTER
The Boston Celtics are massive 14-point favorites for a decisive Game 5 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Miami Heat at TD Garden on Wednesday, tipping off at 7:30 PM ET on TNT. The Celtics hold a 3-1 lead in the series. The matchup has an over/under of 200 points.
Celtics vs. Heat Odds
How to Bet on Celtics vs. Heat
Game Time and Information
Who Will Win Celtics vs. Heat?
Celtics and Heat Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
In games they have played as at least 14-point favorites this season, the Celtics are 8-5 against the spread.
The Celtics and the Heat combine to average 30.7 more points per game than the total of 200 set for this game.
Boston and Miami have seen its opponents average a combined 17.6 more points per game than the over/under of 200 set in this game.
The average total the Celtics have had set in games this year is 29.8 more points than this outing’s point total.
The average total for Miami’s games this year is 18.5 more points than the point total of 200 for this outing.
Boston is 42-36-4 against the spread this season.
So far this season, the Heat have compiled a 40-39-3 record against the spread.
Celtics Stats & Insights
The Celtics have a +930 scoring differential, topping opponents by 11.4 points per game. They’re putting up 120.6 points per game to rank second in the league and are giving up 109.2 per contest to rank fifth in the NBA.
The Celtics pull down 46.3 rebounds per game (second in the league) while allowing 43.3 per contest to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 3.0 boards per game.
Boston hits 16.5 three-pointers per game (first in the league), 3.6 more than its opponents (12.9). It is shooting 38.8% from deep (second-best in the NBA) while allowing opponents to shoot 35.2%.
The Celtics rank first in the NBA with 124.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and third in the league defensively with 112.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.
During the 2023-24 campaign, the Celtics score 5.1 more points per home game on average than on the road (123.1 at home, 118.0 on the road), but are allowing 2.6 fewer points per home game compared to road games (107.9 at home, 110.5 on the road).
Heat Stats & Insights
The Heat put up 110.1 points per game (26th in league) while giving up 108.4 per outing (third in NBA). They have a +144 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 1.7 points per game.
The 42.3 rebounds per game Miami accumulates rank 25th in the league. Their opponents grab 42.8.
The Heat knock down 12.5 three-pointers per game (18th in the league), while their opponents have made 13.0 on average.
The Heat average 115.0 points per 100 possessions on offense (21st in league), and give up 113.1 points per 100 possessions (fifth in NBA).
Miami scores 112.1 points per game at home, and 108.1 on the road.
Celtics Key Players to Watch
Jayson Tatum averages 26.9 points and 8.1 rebounds per game, with 4.9 assists.
Derrick White contributes with 4.2 boards and 5.2 assists per game in addition to his 15.2 PPG scoring average.
Tatum makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Celtics, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 3.1 per contest.
Jaylen Brown picks up 1.2 takeaways per game, and White records 1.2 rejections per contest.
Heat Key Players to Watch
Bam Adebayo has shown out this season to lead active Heat players in points (19.3 per game), rebounds (10.4 per game), and assists (3.9 per game).
Duncan Robinson hits 2.8 threes per game.
The Heat’s defensive effort gets a boost from Adebayo (1.1 steals and 0.9 blocks per game).
Celtics vs. Heat Prediction
Over (200)
Celtics 119 – Heat 104
