The San Diego Padres (15-18) and the Cincinnati Reds (16-14) meet in the rubber match of a three-game series on Wednesday at 4:10 PM ET. The Padres are -144 favorites on the moneyline to win the series over the Reds (+121).
San Diego’s Joe Musgrove gets the start, and he’ll go against Cincinnati’s Graham Ashcraft.
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Padres and Reds Betting Trends
The Padres have compiled a 10-10 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 50% of those games).
San Diego has a 6-4 record (winning 60% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -144 or shorter.
The Reds have won six, or 37.5%, of the 16 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
Cincinnati has a record of 1-4 when it’s set as an underdog of +121 or more by bookmakers this season.
The Padres have had an over/under set by bookmakers 33 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 17 of those games (17-15-1).
Games involving the Reds have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 16 of 30 chances this season.
Padres Stats & Insights
The Padres are the third-highest scoring team in baseball, averaging 4.8 runs per game (157 total).
San Diego averages one home run per game to rank 10th in MLB play with 33 total home runs.
The Padres are 10th in MLB with a .249 batting average.
San Diego strikes out 7.5 times per game to rank 13th in baseball.
The Padres pitching staff ranks 21st in MLB with a collective 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings.
San Diego has the 23rd-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (4.36).
Reds Stats & Insights
The Reds are among the highest scoring teams in the majors, ranking 10th with 148 total runs this season.
Cincinnati’s 31 home runs rank 14th in Major League Baseball.
The Reds rank 26th in MLB with a team batting average of just .219.
Cincinnati ranks 26th in strikeouts per game (9.8) among MLB offenses.
The Reds average nine strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, sixth-most in the majors.
Cincinnati has the 14th-ranked ERA (3.85) in the majors this season.
Padres Key Players to Watch
Musgrove (3-3 with a 6.94 ERA and 27 strikeouts in 35 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Padres, his eighth of the season.
Jurickson Profar leads San Diego in batting average (.311) this season while adding four home runs and 19 RBI.
Fernando Tatis Jr.’s six home runs are most among San Diego batters. He’s driven in 17 runs this season while slugging .437.
Ha-Seong Kim is slashing .216/.324/.388 this season for the Padres.
Jake Cronenworth is a key run producer for San Diego with a .263 average, four homers and 20 RBI.
Reds Key Players to Watch
The Reds will hand the ball to Ashcraft (3-1) for his sixth start of the season.
Elly De La Cruz has a team-best batting average of .279, and paces the Reds in home runs (eight).
Spencer Steer’s 21 runs batted in lead his team.
Jonathan India has two doubles, a triple, a home run and 15 walks while hitting .228.
Tyler Stephenson has four doubles, three home runs and 10 walks while batting .227.
Padres and Reds Injuries
Padres: Tucupita Marcano: 10 Day IL (Knee), Glenn Otto: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Luis Patiño: 15 Day IL (Elbow)
Reds: TJ Friedl: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Ian Gibaut: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Brandon Williamson: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Frankie Montás: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Alex Young: 60 Day IL (Back), Tejay Antone: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Matt McLain: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Tyler Stephenson: day-to-day (Wrist), Christian Encarnacion-Strand: day-to-day (Hand)
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