NEWSLETTER
The Minnesota Timberwolves are 4.5-point underdogs for Game 1 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena on Saturday, beginning at 7:00 PM ET on TNT. The matchup has a point total of 208.5.
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Odds
How to Bet on Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
Game Time and Information
Who Will Win Nuggets vs. Timberwolves?
Nuggets and Timberwolves Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
The Nuggets have a 25-28-2 record against the spread when favored by 4.5 points or more this season.
The Timberwolves have a 4-4 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 4.5 points or more this season.
The Nuggets and Timberwolves average 19.4 more points between them than the over/under of 208.5 for this matchup.
Opponents of the two teams average a combined 7.6 more points per game (216.1) than this matchup’s total of 208.5 points.
The Nuggets’ average point total in outings this season is 224.5, 16.0 points higher than the total in this game.
The average over/under for Minnesota’s games this year is 11.0 more points than the point total of 208.5 for this outing.
Denver has a 38-42-2 record against the spread this season.
The Timberwolves have gone 40-40-2 ATS this year.
Nuggets Stats & Insights
The Nuggets are outscoring opponents by 5.3 points per game with a +431 scoring differential overall. They put up 114.9 points per game (14th in the NBA) and allow 109.6 per contest (sixth in the league).
The Nuggets grab 44.4 rebounds per game (seventh in the league) while conceding 42.3 per contest to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 2.1 boards per game.
Denver knocks down 11.7 three-pointers per game (25th in the league) at a 37.4% rate (ninth-best in the NBA), compared to the 11.2 its opponents make while shooting 35.5% from beyond the arc.
The Nuggets rank fifth in the NBA with 119.4 points scored per 100 possessions, and eighth in the league defensively with 113.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.
The Nuggets have scored at a much higher rate when playing at home than on the road in the 2023-24 season (118.5 at home versus 111.2 on the road), though they have allowed fewer points at home than on the road (108.7 opponent points per home game versus 110.5 on the road).
Timberwolves Stats & Insights
The Timberwolves’ +529 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 6.5 points per game) is a result of putting up 113.0 points per game (18th in NBA) while giving up 106.5 per contest (first in league).
Minnesota pulls down 43.6 rebounds per game (15th in league) while allowing 41.4 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 2.2 boards per game.
The Timberwolves make 12.6 three-pointers per game (15th in the league) at a 38.7% rate (third-best in NBA), compared to the 11.4 per game their opponents make, at a 35.4% rate.
The Timberwolves record 116.5 points per 100 possessions (16th in league), while conceding 109.9 points per 100 possessions (first in NBA).
At home, Minnesota scores 112.0 points per game. On the road, it scores 114.0.
Nuggets Key Players to Watch
Nikola Jokic averages 26.4 points and 12.4 rebounds and 9.0 assists per game.
Michael Porter Jr. leads active Nuggets in three-point shooting, making an average of 2.7 shots per game from beyond the arc.
Jokic averages 1.4 steals per game, while Peyton Watson swats 1.1 shots per contest.
Timberwolves Key Players to Watch
Anthony Edwards scores 25.9 points per game. He also contributes 5.4 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game this season.
This season, Rudy Gobert is averaging 14.0 points, 1.3 assists and 12.9 rebounds per game.
Edwards knocks down 2.4 threes per game.
Edwards’ 1.3 steals and Gobert’s 2.1 blocks per game are important to the Timberwolves’ defensive production.
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction
Over (208.5)
Nuggets 112 – Timberwolves 110
