Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, May 4, 2024

The Minnesota Twins (18-13) will vie for their 12th straight victory when they host the Boston Red Sox (18-15) on Saturday at 2:10 PM ET on NESN. The Twins are listed as -179 favorites by bookmakers, while the Red Sox are +149 underdogs.

Pablo Lopez gets the starting nod for Minnesota while Brennan Bernardino is Boston’s starter for the contest.

Twins vs. Red Sox Odds

  • Twins odds to win: -179
  • Red Sox odds to win: +149
  • Spread: Twins -1.5
  • Total: 7.5 runs
  • Twins vs. Red Sox Promo Codes

    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Saturday, May 4, 2024
  • Time: 2:10 PM ET
  • TV: NESN
  • Who Will Win Twins vs. Red Sox?

    Twins and Red Sox Betting Trends

    The Twins have been the moneyline favorite 21 total times this season. They’ve finished 16-5 in those games.

    Minnesota has won all six games it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -179 or shorter.

    The Red Sox have won nine, or 47.4%, of the 19 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

    Boston has not entered a game this season as a bigger underdog on the moneyline than the +149 odds on it winning this game.

    In the 31 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Twins, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 15 times (15-15-1).

    So far this season, the Red Sox and their opponents have hit the over in 13 of their 33 games with a total.

    Twins Stats & Insights

    The Twins are the 14th-highest scoring team in MLB play averaging 4.8 runs per game (148 total).

    Minnesota ranks 15th in baseball with 32 total home runs.

    The Twins are 16th in the majors with a .239 batting average.

    Minnesota’s 9.2 strikeouts per game rank 21st in MLB.

    The 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings compiled by the Twins pitching staff ranks first in MLB.

    Minnesota’s 3.89 team ERA ranks 18th across all MLB pitching staffs.

    Red Sox Stats & Insights

    The Red Sox have scored the 12th-most runs in the league this season with 152 (4.6 per game).

    Boston has hit 36 homers this season, which ranks ninth in the majors.

    The Red Sox’s .245 batting average is among the best in baseball, ranking 10th in MLB.

    Boston ranks 29th in strikeouts per game (9.9) among MLB offenses.

    The Red Sox strike out 8.5 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 16th in MLB.

    Boston has pitched to a 2.67 ERA this season, which ranks first in baseball.

    Twins Key Players to Watch

    The Twins will send Lopez (2-2) out for his seventh start of the season. He is 2-2 with a 4.83 ERA and 37 strikeouts through 31 2/3 innings pitched.

    Ryan Jeffers is batting .298 with 21 RBI, both of which lead Minnesota hitters this season.

    Edouard Julien is slugging .485 this season, with a team-best seven homers while driving in 14 runs.

    Willi Castro is slashing .282/.348/.466 this season for the Twins.

    Alex Kirilloff has 22 hits and an OBP of .310 to go with a slugging percentage of .449 this season.

    Red Sox Key Players to Watch

    Bernardino heads to the mound for the Red Sox to make his second start of the season, seeking his first win.

    Jarren Duran has six doubles, four triples, a home run and 14 walks while batting .261.

    Tyler O’Neill has shown his power as he paces his team with nine home runs with a team-leading .294 batting average.

    Wilyer Abreu has eight doubles, a triple, two home runs and 11 walks while hitting .298.

    Rafael Devers is batting .300 with seven doubles, three home runs and 16 walks.

    Twins and Red Sox Injuries

    Twins: Byron Buxton: 10 Day IL (Knee), Royce Lewis: 10 Day IL (Quadricep), Brock Stewart: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Justin Topa: 15 Day IL (Knee), Josh Staumont: 15 Day IL (Calf), Anthony DeSclafani: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Zack Weiss: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Daniel Duarte: 60 Day IL (Tricep), Josh Winder: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Red Sox: Romy Gonzalez: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Tyler Heineman: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Masataka Yoshida: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Nick Pivetta: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Brayan Bello: 15 Day IL (Lat), Bryan Mata: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Garrett Whitlock: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Isaiah Campbell: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Lucas Giolito: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Chris Murphy: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Triston Casas: 60 Day IL (Rib), Liam Hendriks: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Trevor Story: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Twins 5, Red Sox 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Twins vs. Red Sox

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