NEWSLETTER
The Dallas Mavericks are slight 2.5-point favorites heading into Game 3 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Oklahoma City Thunder at American Airlines Center on Saturday, beginning at 3:30 PM ET on ABC. The series is tied 1-1. The matchup’s over/under is set at 217.5.
Mavericks vs. Thunder Odds
How to Bet on Mavericks vs. Thunder
Game Time and Information
Who Will Win Mavericks vs. Thunder?
Mavericks and Thunder Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
The Mavericks have a 28-15 record against the spread this season when favored by 2.5 points or more.
In games this season in which they were an underdog by 2.5 points or more, the Thunder have a 7-6-1 record against the spread.
The two teams average a combined 20.5 more points per game, 238, than this matchup’s over/under of 217.5 points.
Opponents of the two teams average a combined 10.8 more points per game (228.3) than this game’s over/under of 217.5 points.
The average total the Mavericks have had in their games this season is 16.0 more points than this particular game’s point total.
The average point total for Oklahoma City this season is 15.3 points higher than this game’s over/under.
Dallas’ ATS record is 48-34-0 this season.
So far this year, the Thunder have put together a 46-35-1 record against the spread.
Mavericks Stats & Insights
The Mavericks have a +181 scoring differential, topping opponents by 2.3 points per game. They’re putting up 117.9 points per game to rank seventh in the league and are allowing 115.6 per contest to rank 20th in the NBA.
The Mavericks pull down 42.9 rebounds per game (21st in the league) while allowing 45.1 per outing to their opponents. They are outrebounded by 2.2 boards per game.
Dallas knocks down 1.5 more threes per game than the opposition, 14.6 (third-most in the league) compared to its opponents’ 13.1.
The Mavericks’ 118.4 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 10th in the NBA, and the 116.2 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 17th in the league.
So far in the 2023-24 campaign, the Mavericks score 1.7 more points per home game on average than on the road (118.7 at home, 117.0 on the road), but are allowing 1.2 fewer points per home game compared to road games (115.0 at home, 116.2 on the road).
Thunder Stats & Insights
The Thunder outscore opponents by 7.4 points per game (posting 120.1 points per game, third in league, and giving up 112.7 per outing, 11th in NBA) and have a +608 scoring differential.
Oklahoma City pulls down 42.0 rebounds per game (27th in league) while allowing 44.7 per contest to opponents. It is outrebounded by 2.7 boards per game.
The Thunder connect on 13.3 three-pointers per game (eighth-most in the league) compared to their opponents’ 13.4. They shoot 38.9% from deep, and their opponents shoot 36.1%.
The Thunder rank third in the NBA with 120.4 points scored per 100 possessions, and fourth defensively with 113.0 points conceded per 100 possessions.
Oklahoma City is putting up more points at home (123.1 per game) than on the road (117.0).
Mavericks Key Players to Watch
Luka Doncic averages 33.9 points and 9.2 rebounds per game, with 9.8 assists.
Doncic leads active Mavericks in three-point shooting, making an average of 4.1 shots per game from beyond the arc.
Doncic averages 1.4 steals per game, while Daniel Gafford has 2.1 blocks per contest.
Thunder Key Players to Watch
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s showing this season has resulted in strong scoring and assists numbers, with 30.1 points per game and 6.2 assists per game to go with 5.5 rebounds per contest.
Chet Holmgren’s per-game averages this season are 16.5 points, 2.4 assists and 7.9 rebounds.
Luguentz Dort hits 2.0 threes per game.
The Thunder’s defensive efforts get a lift from Gilgeous-Alexander’s 2.0 steals and Holmgren’s 2.3 blocks per game.
Mavericks vs. Thunder Prediction
Over (217.5)
Thunder 117 – Mavericks 114
