Padres vs. Brewers Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, June 20, 2024

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The Milwaukee Brewers (44-30) are the underdogs on the moneyline (-108) in Thursday’s contest versus the San Diego Padres (38-40). Game time is set for 9:40 PM ET on SDPA. The Brewers are favored against the spread in this one (1.5) with +149 odds.

San Diego’s Adam Mazur gets the start, and he’ll go against Milwaukee’s Bryse Wilson.

Padres vs. Brewers Odds

  • Padres odds to win: -110
  • Brewers odds to win: -108
  • Spread: Brewers -1.5
  • Total: 8.5 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Thursday, June 20, 2024
  • Time: 9:40 PM ET
  • TV: SDPA
  • Who Will Win Padres vs. Brewers?

    Padres and Brewers Betting Trends

    The Padres are 24-23 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 51.1% of those games).

    San Diego has gone 24-23 (winning 51.1% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -110 or shorter.

    The Brewers have won 19, or 54.3%, of the 35 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

    Milwaukee has a record of 18-15, a 54.5% win rate, when it’s set as an underdog of -108 or more by bookmakers this season.

    The Padres have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 78 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 38 of those games (38-39-1).

    Games involving the Brewers have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 38 of 74 chances this season.

    Padres Stats & Insights

    The Padres rank 11th in runs scored with 343, 4.4 per game.

    San Diego is 13th in MLB with 79 total home runs.

    The Padres rank second in MLB with a .258 batting average.

    San Diego’s hitters strike out 6.9 times per game, the fifth-fewest strikeouts in the majors.

    The Padres pitching staff ranks sixth in the majors with a collective 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings.

    San Diego’s 4.05 team ERA ranks 17th among all MLB pitching staffs.

    Brewers Stats & Insights

    The Brewers have scored the eighth-most runs in the league this season with 355.

    Milwaukee ranks 15th in Major League Baseball with 77 home runs.

    The Brewers’ .252 batting average is among the best in baseball, ranking seventh in MLB.

    Milwaukee ranks 21st in strikeouts per game (8.8) among MLB offenses.

    The Brewers have an 8.1 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 22nd in the majors.

    Milwaukee pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.67 ERA this year, ninth-best in baseball.

    Padres Key Players to Watch

    Mazur (0-2 with a 7.82 ERA and eight strikeouts in 12 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Padres, his fourth of the season.

    Jurickson Profar is batting .323 with 47 RBI, both of which are tops among San Diego hitters this season.

    Fernando Tatis Jr.’s 13 home runs are most among San Diego batters. He’s driven in 35 runs this season while slugging .454.

    Ha-Seong Kim has 55 hits this season and a slash line of .217/.330/.382.

    Luis Arraez is batting .319 with an OBP of .353 and a slugging percentage of .383 this season.

    Brewers Key Players to Watch

    The Brewers will hand the ball to Wilson (4-3) for his ninth start of the season.

    William Contreras leads the Brewers with a team-high batting average of .304.

    Willy Adames’ 12 home runs and 52 runs batted in are both team-highs.

    Brice Turang is batting .280 with 13 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 25 walks.

    Christian Yelich has eight doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 23 walks while batting .324.

    Padres and Brewers Injuries

    Padres: Xander Bogaerts: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Joe Musgrove: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Glenn Otto: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Yu Darvish: 15 Day IL (Groin), Luis Patiño: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Brewers: Robert Gasser: 15 Day IL (Flexor), Taylor Clarke: 15 Day IL (Meniscus), Joe Ross: 15 Day IL (Back), Jakob Junis: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Devin Williams: 60 Day IL (Back), Brandon Woodruff: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Garrett Mitchell: 60 Day IL (Finger), Wade Miley: 60 Day IL (Elbow), D.L. Hall: 60 Day IL (Knee), J.B. Bukauskas: 60 Day IL (Lat)

    Padres vs. Brewers Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Padres 6, Brewers 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Padres vs. Brewers

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