Lynx vs Mercury: Best Bets, Player Props & Computer Picks – June 22

Jun 22, 2024

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The Phoenix Mercury (8-7) will look to Kahleah Copper (third in WNBA, 23.5 points per game) going up against Napheesa Collier (fourth in league, 20.7) and the Minnesota Lynx (12-3) on Saturday, June 22, 2024 at Target Center. The matchup starts at 8:00 PM ET.

If you are trying to make an informed wager on Saturday’s game, dig into the best bets available for this matchup, below (according to our computer predictions).

Pick the Lynx (-5.5) to Cover

The Lynx have covered the spread 11 times in 15 games with a set spread.

The Mercury have registered a 10-5-0 record against the spread this year.

The Lynx have an ATS record of 4-3 when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites.

The Mercury are 5-3 ATS when playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs.

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Take the Under (166.5)

The Lynx and their opponents have gone over 166.5 combined points in four of 15 games this season.

Mercury games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 166.5 points in seven of 15 outings.

The two teams combine to score 168.6 points per game, 2.1 more points than this matchup’s over/under.

These teams surrender a combined 160.5 points per game, six fewer points than this contest’s total.

Lynx matchups this year have an average point total of 163.5, three fewer points than this game’s over/under.

Mercury matchups this season have a 167.2-point average over/under, 0.7 more points than this game’s point total.

Back the Lynx on the Moneyline (-200)

The Lynx have won 85.7% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (6-1).

This season, the Mercury have won five out of the 11 games, or 45.5%, in which they’ve been the underdog.

The Lynx have a 6-1 record (winning 85.7% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -200 or shorter.

The Mercury have a record of 3-6 in games where bookmakers have them as underdogs of at least +165 on the moneyline.

Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Lynx have an implied win probability of 66.7%.

Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mercury have a 37.7% chance to win.

Top Lynx Props

Name	Points O/U	Rebounds O/U	Assists O/U
Napheesa Collier	20.5	9.5	3.5
Kayla McBride	17.5	–	3.5
Alanna Smith	11.5	4.5	–
Courtney Williams	10.5	4.5	5.5

Top Mercury Props

Name	Points O/U	Rebounds O/U	Assists O/U
Kahleah Copper	21.5	4.5	–
Brittney Griner	19.5	7.5	–
Diana Taurasi	16.5	4.5	3.5
Natasha Cloud		4.5	6.5

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Data Skrive

Data Skrive's mission is to create sports articles about every player, on every team, in every league, for every game, for every fan. Data Skrive is an end-to-end fan engagement solution that creates and distributes compelling and entertaining sports content at scale. We leverage sports and marketing experts, machine learning, and proprietary language graphs to generate sports articles, graphics, animations, and social content. Trusted by the world’s leading media, sports, and betting brands, Data Skrive’s Fan Engagement Solution delivers one-of-a-kind experiences to Bleacher Nation's audience trying to reach fans through the creation of sports content that sports fans value.

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