NEWSLETTER
The Cincinnati Reds (36-39) and Jeimer Candelario (2 HR in his last game) are underdogs (+101) on the moneyline for their matchup with the Boston Red Sox (40-36) on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET on BSOH.
Nick Pivetta takes the mound for Boston while Frankie Montas is Cincinnati’s starter for the contest.
Red Sox vs. Reds Odds
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Who Will Win Red Sox vs. Reds?
Red Sox and Reds Betting Trends
The Red Sox have won 20 of the 35 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (57.1%).
When playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -120 or shorter, Boston has a 17-10 record (winning 63% of its games).
This season, the Reds have been the underdog 43 times and won 17, or 39.5%, of those games.
Cincinnati has entered 35 games this season as the underdog by +101 or more and is 12-23 in those contests.
The Red Sox have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 76 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 34 of those games (34-37-5).
So far this season, the Reds and their opponents have hit the over in 31 of their 75 games with a total.
Red Sox Stats & Insights
The Red Sox rank 11th in runs scored with 352, 4.6 per game.
Boston is 11th in MLB play with 83 home runs. They average 1.1 per game.
The Red Sox have the sixth-best batting average in the majors (.253).
Boston’s 9.6 strikeouts per game are the third-most in the majors.
The pitching staff for the Red Sox has a collective 8.8 K/9, the seventh-best in MLB.
Boston has the fifth-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (3.45).
Reds Stats & Insights
The Reds have scored 314 runs (4.2 per game) this season, which ranks 19th in MLB.
Cincinnati ranks 18th in Major League Baseball with 75 home runs.
The Reds rank 27th in MLB with a team batting average of just .225.
Cincinnati ranks 23rd in strikeouts per game (nine) among MLB offenses.
The Reds average the 11th-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.6) in the majors this season.
Cincinnati has pitched to a 3.78 ERA this season, which ranks ninth in baseball.
Red Sox Key Players to Watch
Pivetta (4-4) gets the starting nod for the Red Sox in his 11th start of the season. He’s put together a 3.88 ERA in 53 1/3 innings pitched, with 59 strikeouts.
Jarren Duran leads Boston with a batting average of .280. He’s also hit seven home runs with 34 RBI.
Rafael Devers is batting .274 with an OBP of .362 and a slugging percentage of .535 this season.
Ceddanne Rafaela leads Boston in runs batted in (41) this season. He has a .248 batting average and a .403 slugging percentage.
Tyler O’Neill is slugging .534 this season, with a team-best 15 homers while driving in 26 runs.
Reds Key Players to Watch
The Reds’ Montas (3-5) will make his 14th start of the season.
Elly De La Cruz is batting .234 with 12 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 37 walks.
Spencer Steer has racked up 43 runs batted in to lead his team.
Candelario leads the Reds with 14 home runs and has racked up a team-high batting average of .255.
Jonathan India is hitting .241 with seven doubles, a triple, five home runs and 36 walks.
Red Sox and Reds Injuries
Red Sox: Vaughn Grissom: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Bryan Mata: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Lucas Giolito: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Chris Murphy: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Triston Casas: 60 Day IL (Rib), Liam Hendriks: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Garrett Whitlock: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Trevor Story: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Rob Refsnyder: day-to-day (Knee)
Reds: Emilio Pagán: 15 Day IL (Lat), Christian Encarnacion-Strand: 60 Day IL (Hand), Ian Gibaut: 60 Day IL (Forearm), Tejay Antone: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Brandon Williamson: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Matt McLain: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Tyler Stephenson: day-to-day (Undisclosed)
Red Sox vs. Reds Prediction
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