NEWSLETTER
The Miami Heat (44-36) are heavy, 14-point favorites against the Toronto Raptors (25-55) on Friday, April 12, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET. The matchup airs on BSSU. The matchup has an over/under of 218.5.
Heat vs. Raptors Odds
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Game Time and Information
Who Will Win Heat vs. Raptors?
Heat and Raptors Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
The Heat are a perfect 1-0 against the spread when favored by 14 points or more this season.
The Raptors are 2-4 against the spread when an underdog by 14 points or more this season.
These two teams average a combined 222.5 points per game, 4.0 more points than the over/under of 218.5 set for this game.
Miami and Toronto have seen its opponents average a combined 8.7 more points per game than the point total of 218.5 set in this matchup.
The average point total in Heat games this season is 0.1 fewer points than the over/under of 218.5 in this matchup.
The average over/under in Toronto’s games this season is 12.8 more points than the point total of 218.5 for this outing.
Miami’s ATS record is 39-38-3 this season.
The Raptors are 34-45-1 against the spread this season.
Heat Stats & Insights
The Heat are outscoring opponents by 1.4 points per game with a +107 scoring differential overall. They put up 109.9 points per game (27th in the NBA) and give up 108.5 per outing (third in the league).
The 42.3 rebounds per game the Heat average rank 25th in the NBA. Their opponents pull down 42.8 per outing.
Miami connects on 12.5 three-pointers per game (18th in the league) compared to its opponents’ 13.1. It shoots 37.1% from deep while its opponents hit 35.4% from long range.
The Heat rank 21st in the NBA with 114.7 points scored per 100 possessions, and fourth in the league defensively with 113.3 points conceded per 100 possessions.
The Heat have been better offensively at home, where they average 111.7 points per game, compared to road games, where they score 108.1 per game. Defensively, they are worse at home, where they give up 110.6 points per game, versus playing on the road, where they let their opponents to score 106.6 per game.
Raptors Stats & Insights
The Raptors are being outscored by 6.1 points per game, with a -491 scoring differential overall. They put up 112.6 points per game (20th in NBA), and allow 118.7 per contest (24th in league).
Toronto loses the rebound battle by 2.6 boards on average. It collects 42.7 rebounds per game, 22nd in the league, while its opponents pull down 45.3.
The Raptors connect on 11.5 three-pointers per game (26th in the league) at a 34.9% rate (26th in NBA), compared to the 13.7 per contest their opponents make, shooting 37.7% from deep.
The Raptors rank 24th in the NBA with 113.3 points scored per 100 possessions, and 25th defensively with 119.5 points conceded per 100 possessions.
Toronto is putting up fewer points at home (110.4 per game) than away (114.9).
Heat Key Players to Watch
The Heat get 19.3 points, 10.5 rebounds and 4.0 assists from Bam Adebayo.
Terry Rozier averages 19.8 points per game while adding 4.0 rebounds and 5.6 assists for the Heat.
Rozier leads active Heat in three-point shooting, making an average of 2.4 shots per game from beyond the arc.
Jimmy Butler averages 1.4 steals per game, while Adebayo has 0.9 blocks per contest.
Raptors Key Players to Watch
Kelly Olynyk holds a top spot on the Raptors rebounds and assists leaderboards, scoring 9.8 points a contest with 5.2 rebounds per game and 4.5 assists per game.
Immanuel Quickley has per-game averages of 17.0 points, 4.9 assists and 3.8 rebounds this season.
Gary Trent Jr. averages 2.5 made threes per game.
The Raptors’ defensive effort gets a lift from Trent (1.1 steals per game) and Ochai Agbaji (0.6 blocks per game).
Heat vs. Raptors Prediction
Over (218.5)
Heat 118 – Raptors 107
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