NEWSLETTER
The Dallas Mavericks (50-30) are big, 11.5-point favorites as they try to build on a five-game win streak when they host the Detroit Pistons (13-67) on Friday, April 12, 2024 at American Airlines Center. The game airs at 8:30 PM ET on BSD. The matchup’s point total is set at 217.
Mavericks vs. Pistons Odds
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Game Time and Information
Who Will Win Mavericks vs. Pistons?
Mavericks and Pistons Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
In games this season they were favored by 11.5 points or more, the Mavericks have a 4-2 record against the spread.
The Pistons are 15-11 against the spread when an underdog by 11.5 points or more this year.
The two teams average a combined 11.7 more points per game (228.7) than this matchup’s total of 217 points.
Opponents of the two teams average a combined 17.8 more points per game, 234.8, than this game’s over/under of 217 points.
The average total the Mavericks have had set in games this season is 17.1 more points than this outing’s point total.
The average point total for Detroit this season is 12.4 points higher than this game’s over/under.
So far this season, Dallas has compiled a 48-32-0 record against the spread.
The Pistons’ ATS record is 39-40-1 this season.
Mavericks Stats & Insights
The Mavericks are outscoring opponents by 3.1 points per game with a +248 scoring differential overall. They put up 118.6 points per game (fifth in the NBA) and allow 115.5 per outing (20th in the league).
The Mavericks fall short in the rebound battle by an average of 2.1 boards. They are pulling down 42.9 rebounds per game (19th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 45.0 per outing.
Dallas hits 14.8 three-pointers per game (second-most in the league), 1.6 more than its opponents (13.2). It is shooting 37.2% from beyond the arc (12th in the NBA) while allowing opponents to shoot 36.9%.
The Mavericks rank seventh in the NBA with 119.2 points scored per 100 possessions, and 15th in the league defensively with 116.1 points conceded per 100 possessions.
In 2023-24, the Mavericks’ offense has been better at home, where they average 119.4 points per game, compared to on the road, where they put up 117.8 per game. On defense, they have been slightly tougher in home games, where they concede 115.3 points per game, versus playing on the road, where they allow opponents to average 115.8 per game.
Pistons Stats & Insights
The Pistons have a -737 scoring differential, falling short by 9.2 points per game. They’re putting up 110.1 points per game, 26th in the league, and are giving up 119.3 per contest to rank 26th in the NBA.
Detroit ranks 16th in the NBA at 43.4 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 42.9 its opponents average.
The Pistons knock down 11.1 three-pointers per game (29th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 12.1. They shoot 35.1% from deep, and their opponents shoot 37.0%.
The Pistons rank 26th in the NBA with 110.6 points scored per 100 possessions, and 26th defensively with 119.8 points conceded per 100 possessions.
In 2023-24 Detroit is scoring 0.4 more points per game at home (110.3) than away (109.9).
Mavericks Key Players to Watch
The Mavericks get 33.9 points, 9.2 rebounds and 9.8 assists from Luka Doncic.
Doncic makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Mavericks, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 4.1 per contest.
Doncic averages 1.4 steals per game, while Daniel Gafford swats 2.1 shots per contest.
Pistons Key Players to Watch
The Pistons go-to guy, Jaden Ivey, leads active Pistons players in both scoring (15.5 points per game) and assists (3.9 assists per game).
Jalen Duren’s per-game averages this season are 13.8 points, 2.4 assists and 11.6 rebounds.
Ivey averages 1.6 made threes per game.
Ivey’s 0.7 steals and Duren’s 0.8 blocks per game are vital to the Pistons’ defensive performance.
Mavericks vs. Pistons Prediction
Over (217)
Mavericks 125 – Pistons 106
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