The Toronto Raptors (25-56) are big, 16.5-point underdogs as they attempt to stop a three-game losing streak when they visit the Miami Heat (45-36) on Sunday, April 14, 2024 at FTX Arena. The game airs at 1:00 PM ET on BSSU. The matchup has an over/under of 218.5 points.
Heat vs. Raptors Odds
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Game Time and Information
Who Will Win Heat vs. Raptors?
Heat and Raptors Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
The Raptors are 1-2 against the spread when an underdog by 16.5 points or more this season.
The two teams average a combined 4.0 more points per game, 222.5, than this matchup’s over/under of 218.5 points.
Miami and Toronto have seen its opponents average a combined 8.8 more points per game than the over/under of 218.5 set for this matchup.
The average total the Heat have had set in matchups this year is 218.5, which equals this outing’s point total.
Toronto’s games this year have averaged a total of 231.3 points, 12.8 more than the point total in this matchup.
Miami’s ATS record is 40-38-3 this season.
The Raptors are 34-46-1 against the spread this year.
Heat Stats & Insights
The Heat outscore opponents by 1.5 points per game (scoring 110.0 points per game to rank 27th in the league while allowing 108.5 per outing to rank third in the NBA) and have a +129 scoring differential overall.
The 42.2 rebounds per game the Heat average rank 26th in the league. Their opponents pull down 42.8 per outing.
Miami knocks down 12.5 three-pointers per game (18th in the league) compared to its opponents’ 13.0. It shoots 37.1% from deep while its opponents hit 35.4% from long range.
The Heat rank 21st in the NBA with 114.9 points scored per 100 possessions, and fourth in the league defensively with 113.3 points conceded per 100 possessions.
In the 2023-24 season, the Heat score 3.9 more points per home game on average than on the road (112.0 at home, 108.1 on the road), and are also conceding 3.8 more points per home game compared to road games (110.4 at home, 106.6 on the road).
Raptors Stats & Insights
The Raptors have been outscored by 6.3 points per game (posting 112.5 points per game, 21st in league, while giving up 118.8 per outing, 24th in NBA) and have a -513 scoring differential.
Toronto ranks 22nd in the NBA at 42.7 rebounds per game. That’s 2.5 fewer than the 45.2 its opponents average.
The Raptors connect on 11.5 three-pointers per game (26th in the league) at a 34.8% rate (26th in NBA), compared to the 13.7 per outing their opponents make, shooting 37.8% from deep.
The Raptors rank 24th in the league averaging 113.3 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 26th, allowing 119.6 points per 100 possessions.
At home Toronto is scoring 110.4 points per game, 4.2 fewer points than it is averaging away (114.6).
Heat Key Players to Watch
The Heat get 19.3 points, 10.4 rebounds and 3.9 assists from Bam Adebayo.
Jimmy Butler’s averages this season are 20.9 points, 5.3 rebounds and 5.0 assists per game.
The Heat get 2.8 three-pointers per game out of Duncan Robinson.
Butler picks pockets to the tune of 1.3 takeaways per game, and Adebayo records 0.9 rejections per contest.
Raptors Key Players to Watch
Kelly Olynyk racks up 5.2 rebounds per game and 4.5 assists per game to go with the 9.8 points he tallies a contest.
RJ Barrett’s per-game averages this season are 20.2 points, 3.3 assists and 5.4 rebounds.
Gary Trent Jr. makes 2.5 treys per game.
The Raptors’ defensive efforts get a lift from Trent’s 1.1 steals and Ochai Agbaji’s 0.6 blocks per game.
Heat vs. Raptors Prediction
Over (218.5)
Heat 119 – Raptors 106
Heat vs. Raptors Promo Codes
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