NEWSLETTER
The Milwaukee Bucks are slight 1-point underdogs for Game 1 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Indiana Pacers at Fiserv Forum on Sunday, tipping off at 7:00 PM ET on TNT. The matchup has an over/under set at 231.5 points.
Pacers vs. Bucks Odds
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Game Time and Information
Who Will Win Pacers vs. Bucks?
Pacers and Bucks Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
The Pacers have a 21-21-1 record against the spread this season when favored by 1 point or more.
The Bucks have a 6-9 record against the spread when an underdog by 1 point or more this year.
These two teams average 242.3 points per game combined, 10.8 more than the total of 231.5.
Indiana and Milwaukee have seen its opponents average a combined 5.1 more points per game than the over/under of 231.5 set for this outing.
The average total the Pacers have had set in matchups this year is 12.0 more points than this outing’s point total.
The average point total for Milwaukee this season is 3.8 points higher than this game’s over/under.
Indiana has a 44-35-3 record against the spread this season.
So far this season, the Bucks have put together a 35-46-1 record against the spread.
Pacers Stats & Insights
The Pacers average 123.3 points per game (first in the league) while giving up 120.2 per contest (27th in the NBA). They have a +250 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 3.1 points per game.
The Pacers rank 28th in the NBA at 41.5 rebounds per game. That’s 1.9 fewer than the 43.4 their opponents average.
Indiana knocks down 13.2 three-pointers per game (10th in the league) while shooting 37.4% from deep (ninth-best in the NBA). It is making 2.5 more threes per outing than its opponents, who drain 10.7 per game while shooting 36.5%.
The Pacers rank second in the NBA with 121.9 points scored per 100 possessions, and 24th in the league defensively with 118.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.
In the 2023-24 campaign, the Pacers score 4.5 more points per home game on average than on the road (125.5 at home, 121.0 on the road), but are allowing 3.1 fewer points per home game compared to road games (118.7 at home, 121.8 on the road).
Bucks Stats & Insights
The Bucks are outscoring opponents by 2.6 points per game, with a +215 scoring differential overall. They put up 119.0 points per game (fourth in NBA) and allow 116.4 per outing (21st in league).
Milwaukee is eighth in the league at 44.2 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 44.0 its opponents average.
The Bucks hit 14.2 three-pointers per game (fifth-most in the league), 1.6 more than their opponents. They are shooting 37.3% from deep (11th in NBA), and opponents are shooting 35.6%.
The Bucks rank sixth in the NBA with 119.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and 19th defensively with 116.5 points conceded per 100 possessions.
Milwaukee scores 121.2 points per game at home, and 116.7 on the road.
Pacers Key Players to Watch
Pascal Siakam averages 21.7 points and 7.1 rebounds per game, with 4.3 assists.
Tyrese Haliburton contributes with 3.9 boards and 10.9 assists per game in addition to his 20.1 PPG scoring average.
Haliburton makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Pacers, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.8 per contest.
Haliburton averages 1.2 steals per game, while Myles Turner swats 1.9 shots per contest.
Bucks Key Players to Watch
Giannis Antetokounmpo has the top Bucks spot in two categories among active players: scoring (30.4 points per game) and rebounding (11.5 rebounds per game). He also has 6.5 assists per contest.
Damian Lillard’s per-game averages this season are 24.3 points, 7.0 assists and 4.4 rebounds.
Malik Beasley averages 2.8 made threes per game.
The Bucks’ defensive effort gets a lift from Antetokounmpo’s 1.2 steals and Brook Lopez’s 2.4 blocks per game.
Pacers vs. Bucks Prediction
Over (231.5)
Bucks 120 – Pacers 119
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