Celtics vs. Heat Predictions, Best Bets and Odds: NBA Playoffs Game 1 – Sunday, April 21, 2024

The Boston Celtics and the Miami Heat meet to start the first round of the NBA Playoffs. The Celtics are big, 14-point favorites in the matchup, which airs on ABC at 1:00 PM ET. The point total for the matchup is 209.

Keep reading to find the best bets you can place on Sunday’s game, based on our computer predictions.

How to Bet on Celtics vs. Heat

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Pick the Heat (-14) to Cover

  • Against the spread, the Celtics are 42-36-4 this year.
  • Against the spread, the Heat are 40-39-3 this year.
  • So far this season, the Celtics have been installed as favorites by a 14-point margin or more 13 times and are 8-5 ATS in those matchups.
  • Take the Points Over (209)

  • Of 82 games thus far this year, the Celtics have played 76 with over 209 points scored, their current matchup’s point total.
  • This season, 58 of the Heat’s 82 total matchups have gone over 209 total points scored.
  • The two teams average a combined 21.7 more points per game, 230.7, than this matchup’s over/under of 209 points.
  • The Celtics and the Heat have seen their opponents average a combined 8.6 more points per game than the over/under of 209 set for this outing.
  • The average total in Celtics games this season is 20.8 more points than the over/under of 209 in this game.
  • The average point total for the Heat this season is 9.5 points higher than this game’s over/under.
  • Back the Celtics on the Moneyline (-1200)

  • The Celtics have come away with 63 wins in the 79 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
  • The Heat have put together an 11-24 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 31.4% of those games).
  • This year, the Celtics have won 10 of 11 games when listed as at least -1200 or better on the moneyline.
  • The Heat have yet to play a game with moneyline odds of +750 or longer.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Celtics have a 92.3% chance of walking away with the win.
  • The implied moneyline probablility for this matchup gives the Heat an 11.8% chance to win.
  • Top Celtics Props

    Name Points O/U Rebounds O/U Assists O/U
    Jayson Tatum 26.5 8.5 5.5
    Jaylen Brown 21.5 5.5 2.5
    Kristaps Porzingis 18.5 7.5
    Derrick White 12.5 4.5 4.5
    Jrue Holiday 11.5 4.5 4.5

    Top Heat Props

    Name Points O/U Rebounds O/U Assists O/U
    Tyler Herro 23.5 5.5 5.5
    Bam Adebayo 17.5 10.5 4.5
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. 14.5 4.5 3.5
    Terry Rozier 13.5 3.5 3.5
    Caleb Martin 9.5 4.5 2.5

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