The New Orleans Pelicans are 7.5-point underdogs heading into Game 2 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Oklahoma City Thunder at Paycom Center on Wednesday, tipping off at 9:30 PM ET on TNT. The Thunder are up 1-0 in the series. The matchup’s over/under is 211.5.
Thunder vs. Pelicans Odds
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Who Will Win Thunder vs. Pelicans?
Thunder and Pelicans Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
The Thunder have a 16-11 record against the spread this season when favored by 7.5 points or more.
The Pelicans have a 2-1 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 7.5 points or more this season.
The two teams average a combined 23.7 more points per game, 235.2, than this game’s over/under of 211.5 points.
Opponents of the two teams average a combined 11.9 more points per game (223.4) than this matchup’s over/under of 211.5 points.
The Thunder’s average total in outings this year has been 232.8, 21.3 points higher than the over/under in this particular game.
The average over/under for New Orleans’ games this season is 14.2 more points than the point total of 211.5 for this outing.
Oklahoma City’s ATS record is 46-35-1 this season.
The Pelicans’ ATS record is 44-36-2 this season.
Thunder Stats & Insights
The Thunder average 120.1 points per game (third in the league) while allowing 112.7 per contest (11th in the NBA). They have a +608 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 7.4 points per game.
The 42.0 rebounds per game the Thunder average rank 27th in the NBA, and are 2.7 fewer than the 44.7 their opponents grab per contest.
Oklahoma City connects on 13.3 three-pointers per game (eighth-most in the league) compared to its opponents’ 13.4. It shoots 38.9% from deep while its opponents hit 36.1% from long range.
The Thunder score 120.4 points per 100 possessions (third in the league), while allowing 113.0 points per 100 possessions (fourth in the NBA).
So far in 2023-24, the Thunder’s offense has been much better at home, where they score 123.1 points per game, compared to road games, where they record 117.0 per game. Defensively, they have been much tougher when playing at home, where they give up 110.2 points per game, versus on the road, where they let opponents to score 115.2 per game.
Pelicans Stats & Insights
The Pelicans’ +362 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 4.4 points per game) is a result of putting up 115.1 points per game (13th in NBA) while allowing 110.7 per contest (eighth in league).
New Orleans wins the rebound battle by 1.7 boards on average. It collects 44.0 rebounds per game, 12th in the league, while its opponents pull down 42.3.
The Pelicans connect on 12.5 three-pointers per game (18th in the league) at a 38.3% rate (fourth-best in NBA), compared to the 13.5 their opponents make, shooting 34.9% from beyond the arc.
The Pelicans rank 11th in the NBA with 118.3 points scored per 100 possessions, and sixth defensively with 113.7 points conceded per 100 possessions.
New Orleans is scoring fewer points at home (114.9 per game) than on the road (115.3).
Thunder Key Players to Watch
The active leader in points and assists for the Thunder this season is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who scores 30.1 points and distributes 6.2 assists per game.
Chet Holmgren puts up 16.5 points per game and adds 7.9 rebounds and 2.4 assists for the Thunder.
Luguentz Dort leads active Thunder in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 2.0 shots per game from beyond the arc.
Gilgeous-Alexander picks up 2.0 takeaways per game, and Holmgren collects 2.3 rejections per contest.
Pelicans Key Players to Watch
Brandon Ingram’s showing this season has resulted in strong scoring and assists numbers, with 20.8 points per game and 5.7 assists per game to go with 5.1 rebounds per contest.
This season, Jonas Valanciunas has a statline that includes 12.2 points, 2.1 assists and 8.8 rebounds per game.
CJ McCollum averages 3.6 made threes per game.
The Pelicans’ defensive efforts get a boost from Herbert Jones’ 1.4 steals and Valanciunas’ 0.8 blocks per game.
Thunder vs. Pelicans Prediction
Over (211.5)
Thunder 117 – Pelicans 111
Thunder vs. Pelicans Promo Codes
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