Guardians vs. Mariners Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, June 20, 2024

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The Cleveland Guardians (45-26) and Josh Naylor (2 HR in his last game) are favored (-126) on the moneyline for their matchup with the Seattle Mariners (44-32) on Thursday at 1:10 PM ET on MLB Network.

Cleveland’s Logan Allen gets the start, and he’ll go against Seattle’s Luis Castillo.

Guardians vs. Mariners Odds

  • Guardians odds to win: -126
  • Mariners odds to win: +107
  • Spread: Guardians -1.5
  • Total: 8 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Thursday, June 20, 2024
  • Time: 1:10 PM ET
  • TV: MLB Network
  • Who Will Win Guardians vs. Mariners?

    Guardians and Mariners Betting Trends

    The Guardians are 31-15 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 67.4% of those games).

    Cleveland has gone 21-11 (winning 65.6% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -126 or shorter.

    The Mariners have been underdogs in 30 games this season and won 16 (53.3%) of those contests.

    This season, Seattle has won 11 of its 21 games, or 52.4%, when it’s the underdog by at least +107 on the moneyline.

    The Guardians have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 71 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 34 of those games (34-32-5).

    The Mariners’ games have gone over the total in 30 of their 76 chances.

    Guardians Stats & Insights

    The Guardians are the eighth-highest scoring team in baseball, averaging five runs per game (354 total).

    Cleveland ranks 12th in MLB action with 79 total home runs.

    The Guardians have the 16th-ranked batting average in the league (.243).

    Cleveland strikes out 7.3 times per game to rank second in the majors.

    The Guardians pitching staff is second in MLB with a collective 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings.

    Cleveland’s 3.50 team ERA ranks sixth among all MLB pitching staffs.

    Mariners Stats & Insights

    The Mariners have scored 296 runs (3.9 per game) this season, which ranks 23rd in MLB.

    Seattle ranks eighth in Major League Baseball with 84 home runs.

    The Mariners rank 29th in MLB with a team batting average of just .220.

    Seattle ranks last in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 10.1 whiffs per contest.

    The Mariners average the 16th-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.5) in the majors this season.

    Seattle pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.50 ERA this year, sixth-best in baseball.

    Guardians Key Players to Watch

    Allen gets the start for the Guardians, his 15th of the season. He is 7-3 with a 5.30 ERA and 57 strikeouts through 69 2/3 innings pitched.

    Jose Ramirez leads Cleveland in batting average (.275) and runs batted in (64) this season while also slugging 18 homers.

    Naylor leads Cleveland in home runs with 19 while driving in 54 runs and slugging .498.

    Steven Kwan is slashing .397/.456/.554 this season for the Guardians.

    Andres Gimenez has collected 66 hits this season and has an OBP of .303. He’s slugging .340 on the year.

    Mariners Key Players to Watch

    The Mariners will hand the ball to Castillo (6-7) for his 16th start of the season.

    Julio Rodriguez leads the Mariners with a team-best batting average of .264.

    Josh Rojas is batting .266 with 12 doubles, two triples, four home runs and 20 walks.

    Caleb Raleigh leads the Mariners in home runs (12) and runs batted in (44).

    Dylan Moore is hitting .206 with 12 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 24 walks.

    Guardians and Mariners Injuries

    Guardians: Nick Sandlin: 15 Day IL (Back), Eli Morgan: 15 Day IL (Elbow), James Karinchak: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Shane Bieber: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Trevor Stephan: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Gavin Williams: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Mariners: Jorge Polanco: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Gabe Speier: 15 Day IL (Rotator cuff), Matt Brash: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Jackson Kowar: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Gregory Santos: 60 Day IL (Lat), Sam Haggerty: 60 Day IL (Achilles)

    Guardians vs. Mariners Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Mariners 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • How to Bet on Guardians vs. Mariners

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