Pirates vs. Rays Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, June 22, 2024

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The Tampa Bay Rays (37-39) serve as underdogs on the moneyline (-108) in Saturday’s contest against the Pittsburgh Pirates (36-39). First pitch is at 4:05 PM ET on BSSUN. The Rays are favored against the spread in this one (1.5) with +145 odds.

Pittsburgh’s Jared Jones gets the start, and he’ll go against Tampa Bay’s Zach Eflin.

Pirates vs. Rays Odds

  • Pirates odds to win: -110
  • Rays odds to win: -108
  • Spread: Rays -1.5
  • Total: 8.5 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Saturday, June 22, 2024
  • Time: 4:05 PM ET
  • TV: BSSUN
  • Who Will Win Pirates vs. Rays?

    Pirates and Rays Betting Trends

    The Pirates have been favored on the moneyline 30 total times this season. They’ve gone 14-16 in those games.

    In games it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -110 or shorter, Pittsburgh has a 14-17 record (winning 45.2% of its games).

    This season, the Rays have won 14 out of the 32 games, or 43.8%, in which they’ve been the underdog.

    Tampa Bay has a record of 13-18, a 41.9% win rate, when it’s set as an underdog of -108 or more by sportsbooks this season.

    The Pirates have played in 75 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 36 times (36-38-1).

    The Rays and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 40 of their 76 opportunities.

    Pirates Stats & Insights

    The Pirates are the 24th-highest scoring team in MLB play averaging four runs per game (302 total).

    Pittsburgh is 24th in MLB play with 69 home runs. They average 0.9 per game.

    The Pirates are 25th in MLB with a .229 batting average.

    Pittsburgh’s batters strike out 9.5 times per game, the 27th-most in baseball.

    The pitching staff for the Pirates has a collective 8.5 K/9, which ranks 16th in the majors.

    Pittsburgh has the 16th-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (3.99).

    Rays Stats & Insights

    The Rays have scored the 21st-most runs in the league this season with 305 (four per game).

    Tampa Bay has hit just 66 homers this season, which ranks 27th in the majors.

    The Rays’ .235 batting average ranks 21st in the league this season.

    Tampa Bay ranks 25th with an average of nine strikeouts per game.

    The Rays average the 11th-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.6) in the majors this season.

    Tampa Bay pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.43 ERA this year, which ranks 24th in MLB.

    Pirates Key Players to Watch

    Jones (4-6) takes the mound for the Pirates in his 15th start of the season. He’s put together a 3.76 ERA in 79 2/3 innings pitched, with 85 strikeouts.

    Bryan Reynolds is batting .272 with 11 home runs and 41 RBI. All three of those stats are best among Pittsburgh hitters this season.

    Connor Joe has collected 57 hits this season and has an OBP of .318. He’s slugging .398 on the year.

    Andrew McCutchen has 57 hits this season and a slash line of .242/.337/.398.

    Oneil Cruz has collected 61 hits this season and has an OBP of .292. He’s slugging .417 on the year.

    Rays Key Players to Watch

    The Rays will hand the ball to Eflin (3-4) for his 14th start of the season.

    Isaac Paredes paces the Rays with 11 home runs and 39 runs batted in, while accumulating a team-best batting average of .285.

    Yandy Diaz is hitting .266 with 14 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 27 walks.

    Randy Arozarena has 12 doubles, 10 home runs and 35 walks while hitting .191.

    Amed Rosario is hitting .301 with 12 doubles, three triples, two home runs and seven walks.

    Pirates and Rays Injuries

    Pirates: Ji-Hwan Bae: 10 Day IL (Undisclosed), Joey Bart: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Martín Pérez: 15 Day IL (Groin), Hunter Stratton: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Quinn Priester: 15 Day IL (Undisclosed), Marco Gonzales: 60 Day IL (Forearm), Ryan Borucki: 60 Day IL (Tricep), Dauri Moreta: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Johan Oviedo: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Endy Rodriguez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Henry Davis: 7 Day IL (Head)

    Rays: Richard Lovelady: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Drew Rasmussen: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Shane McClanahan: 60 Day IL (Forearm), Jacob Waguespack: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Jeffrey Springs: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Pirates vs. Rays Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Pirates 6, Rays 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Pirates vs. Rays

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