Mets vs. Astros Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, June 28, 2024

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The Houston Astros (40-40) are the underdogs on the moneyline (-107) in Friday’s contest versus the New York Mets (39-39). First pitch is at 7:10 PM ET on Apple TV+. The Astros are favored against the spread in this one (1.5) with +153 odds.

New York’s Jose Quintana and Houston’s Ronel Blanco have been named the starters for this contest.

Mets vs. Astros Odds

  • Mets odds to win: -111
  • Astros odds to win: -107
  • Spread: Astros -1.5
  • Total: 8 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Friday, June 28, 2024
  • Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • TV: Apple TV+
  • Who Will Win Mets vs. Astros?

    Mets and Astros Betting Trends

    The Mets are 20-19 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 51.3% of those games).

    New York has a 19-17 record (winning 52.8% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -111 or shorter.

    This season, the Astros have been the underdog 17 times and won nine, or 52.9%, of those games.

    Houston has a record of 8-7, a 53.3% win rate, when it’s set as an underdog of -107 or more by oddsmakers this season.

    The Mets have played in 78 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 40 times (40-36-2).

    The Astros and their opponents have hit the over in 28 of their 80 games with a total this season.

    Mets Stats & Insights

    The Mets have the No. 10 offense in MLB action scoring 4.8 runs per game (375 total runs).

    New York averages 1.2 home runs per game to rank fourth in baseball with 97 total home runs.

    The Mets’ .250 batting average is eighth-best in MLB.

    New York strikes out 7.9 times per game, the seventh-best mark in baseball.

    The 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Mets pitching staff ranks sixth in MLB.

    New York’s 4.09 team ERA ranks 18th across all MLB pitching staffs.

    Astros Stats & Insights

    The Astros rank 13th in the majors with 367 total runs scored this season.

    Houston has hit 94 homers this season, which ranks seventh in the majors.

    The Astros lead baseball with a .263 batting average.

    Houston is the best at avoiding strikeouts in MLB this season with only 541 as a team.

    The Astros strike out 8.7 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 10th-best in MLB.

    Houston has the 17th-ranked ERA (4.07) in the majors this season.

    Mets Key Players to Watch

    Quintana (3-5) gets the starting nod for the Mets in his 16th start of the season. He has a 4.58 ERA in 78 2/3 innings pitched, with 58 strikeouts.

    Francisco Lindor has been key for New York with 78 hits, an OBP of .313 plus a slugging percentage of .442.

    Pete Alonso’s 16 home runs are most among New York batters. He’s driven in 43 runs this season while slugging .465.

    Brandon Nimmo is among the top hitters for New York with a .242 average, 12 homers and 46 RBI.

    Harrison Bader has collected 60 hits this season and has an OBP of .321. He’s slugging .422 on the year.

    Astros Key Players to Watch

    The Astros’ Blanco (8-2) will make his 15th start of the season.

    Yordan Alvarez has collected a team-best 41 runs batted in.

    Jose Altuve’s .303 batting average leads his team.

    Alex Bregman has 15 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 26 walks while batting .253.

    Yainer Diaz has 12 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 11 walks while batting .271.

    Mets and Astros Injuries

    Mets: Starling Marte: 10 Day IL (Knee), Sean Reid-Foley: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Drew Smith: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Brooks Raley: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Shintaro Fujinami: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Ronny Mauricio: 60 Day IL (Knee), Kodai Senga: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Astros: Kyle Tucker: 10 Day IL (Shin), Victor Caratini: 10 Day IL (Hip), Jake Bloss: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Justin Verlander: 15 Day IL (Neck), Jose Urquidy: 60 Day IL (Forearm), Luis Garcia: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Oliver Ortega: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Cristian Javier: 60 Day IL (Forearm), Lance McCullers Jr.: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Penn Murfee: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kendall Graveman: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Bennett Sousa: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Mets vs. Astros Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Astros 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • How to Bet on Mets vs. Astros

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