Red Sox vs. Padres Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, June 28, 2024

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The San Diego Padres (44-41) and Kyle Higashioka (2 HR in his last game) are underdogs (+135) on the moneyline for their matchup with the Boston Red Sox (43-37) on Friday at 7:10 PM ET on Apple TV+.

Boston’s Nick Pivetta and San Diego’s Randy Vasquez have been named the starters for this contest.

Red Sox vs. Padres Odds

  • Red Sox odds to win: -158
  • Padres odds to win: +135
  • Spread: Red Sox -1.5
  • Total: 9.5 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Friday, June 28, 2024
  • Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • TV: Apple TV+
  • Who Will Win Red Sox vs. Padres?

    Red Sox and Padres Betting Trends

    The Red Sox have gone 22-16 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 57.9% of those games).

    In games it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -158 or shorter, Boston has a 5-4 record (winning 55.6% of its games).

    The Padres have been underdogs in 33 games this season and won 16 (48.5%) of those contests.

    San Diego has entered 13 games this season as the underdog by +135 or more and is 6-7 in those contests.

    The Red Sox have had an over/under set by bookmakers 80 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 37 of those games (37-38-5).

    Games involving the Padres have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 45 of 85 chances this season.

    Red Sox Stats & Insights

    The Red Sox are the 11th-highest scoring team in MLB action averaging 4.7 runs per game (374 total).

    Boston is 12th in baseball with 90 total home runs.

    The Red Sox have the seventh-best batting average in the majors (.253).

    Boston’s 9.5 strikeouts per game are the third-most in baseball.

    The 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings compiled by the Red Sox pitching staff ranks eighth in MLB.

    Boston has the sixth-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (3.54).

    Padres Stats & Insights

    The Padres have scored 391 runs this season, which ranks seventh in MLB.

    San Diego has hit 92 homers this season, which ranks eighth in the majors.

    The Padres’ .261 batting average is among the best in baseball, ranking second in MLB.

    San Diego is one of the best teams in baseball at making contact this season, ranking second with an average of 6.7 strikeouts per game.

    The Padres strike out 8.9 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, sixth-best in MLB.

    San Diego has the 19th-ranked ERA (4.11) in the majors this season.

    Red Sox Key Players to Watch

    Pivetta (4-4) gets the starting nod for the Red Sox in his 12th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.06 ERA in 57 2/3 innings pitched, with 64 strikeouts.

    Jarren Duran leads Boston in batting average (.288) this season while adding seven home runs and 37 RBI.

    Rafael Devers is batting .285 this season with a team-high 16 home runs and 42 RBI.

    Tyler O’Neill is slugging .550 this season, with a team-high 16 home runs. He’s also collected 28 RBI.

    Ceddanne Rafaela is batting .238 with an OBP of .267 and a slugging percentage of .385 this season.

    Padres Key Players to Watch

    The Padres’ Vasquez (2-4) will make his 11th start of the season.

    Jurickson Profar leads the Padres in runs batted in (55) and has racked up a team-best batting average of .316.

    Jake Cronenworth is hitting .264 with 17 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 26 walks.

    Ha-Seong Kim is hitting .223 with nine doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 46 walks.

    Luis Arraez is hitting .310 with 15 doubles, two triples, two home runs and 14 walks.

    Red Sox and Padres Injuries

    Red Sox: Vaughn Grissom: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Bryan Mata: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Lucas Giolito: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Chris Murphy: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Triston Casas: 60 Day IL (Rib), Liam Hendriks: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Garrett Whitlock: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Trevor Story: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Padres: Xander Bogaerts: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Fernando Tatis Jr.: 10 Day IL (Quadricep), Luis Campusano: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Glenn Otto: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Yu Darvish: 15 Day IL (Groin), Tom Cosgrove: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Joe Musgrove: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Luis Patiño: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Red Sox vs. Padres Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Padres 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Red Sox vs. Padres

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