Red Sox vs. Padres Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, June 29, 2024

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The Boston Red Sox (43-38), led by Rafael Devers on a three-game home run streak, are -138 favorites on the moneyline to defeat Kyle Higashioka (homers in two straight contests) and the San Diego Padres (45-41). First pitch is at 4:10 PM ET on Saturday, live from Fenway Park and airing on NESN.

Boston’s Tanner Houck and San Diego’s Michael King have been named the starters for this contest.

Red Sox vs. Padres Odds

  • Red Sox odds to win: -138
  • Padres odds to win: +118
  • Spread: Red Sox -1.5
  • Total: 8.5 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Saturday, June 29, 2024
  • Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • TV: NESN
  • Who Will Win Red Sox vs. Padres?

    Red Sox and Padres Betting Trends

    The Red Sox have put together a 22-17 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 56.4% of those games).

    Boston has a 12-6 record (winning 66.7% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -138 or shorter.

    The Padres have entered the game as underdogs 34 times this season and won 17, or 50%, of those games.

    San Diego has a record of 7-8 in games where oddsmakers have it as underdogs of at least +118 on the moneyline.

    The Red Sox have played in 81 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 38 times (38-38-5).

    The Padres and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 46 of their 86 opportunities.

    Red Sox Stats & Insights

    The Red Sox are the 12th-highest scoring team in baseball averaging 4.6 runs per game (376 total).

    Boston ranks 12th in MLB action with 91 total home runs.

    The Red Sox are seventh in the majors with a .253 batting average.

    Boston’s batters strike out 9.5 times per game, the 26th-most in baseball.

    The Red Sox pitching staff is eighth in MLB with a collective 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings.

    Boston has the eighth-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (3.60).

    Padres Stats & Insights

    The Padres have scored the fifth-most runs in the league this season with 400.

    San Diego’s 94 home runs rank ninth in Major League Baseball.

    The Padres have a team batting average of .261 this season, which ranks second among MLB teams.

    San Diego ranks second in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 6.7 Ks per contest.

    The Padres have an 8.9 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, sixth-best in baseball.

    San Diego has pitched to a 4.09 ERA this season, which ranks 19th in baseball.

    Red Sox Key Players to Watch

    The Red Sox are sending Houck (7-5) to the mound to make his 17th start of the season. He is 7-5 with a 2.18 ERA and 101 strikeouts through 103 1/3 innings pitched.

    Jarren Duran leads Boston in batting average (.287) this season while adding seven home runs and 37 RBI.

    Devers leads Boston in home runs with 17, runs batted in with 43 and a batting average of .287.

    Tyler O’Neill has collected 53 base hits, an OBP of .353 and a slugging percentage of .539 this season.

    Ceddanne Rafaela is batting .245 with an OBP of .274 and a slugging percentage of .394 this season.

    Padres Key Players to Watch

    King (5-5) will take the mound for the Padres, his 17th start of the season.

    Jurickson Profar has put up a team-high batting average of .316 while leading the Padres in runs batted in (55).

    Jake Cronenworth is hitting .263 with 17 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 26 walks.

    Ha-Seong Kim is batting .223 with nine doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 46 walks.

    Luis Arraez has 15 doubles, two triples, two home runs and 14 walks while hitting .311.

    Red Sox and Padres Injuries

    Red Sox: Vaughn Grissom: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Bryan Mata: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Lucas Giolito: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Chris Murphy: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Triston Casas: 60 Day IL (Rib), Liam Hendriks: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Garrett Whitlock: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Trevor Story: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Padres: Xander Bogaerts: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Fernando Tatis Jr.: 10 Day IL (Quadricep), Luis Campusano: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Glenn Otto: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Yu Darvish: 15 Day IL (Groin), Tom Cosgrove: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Joe Musgrove: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Luis Patiño: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Randy Vasquez: day-to-day (Forearm)

    Red Sox vs. Padres Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Red Sox 4, Padres 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Red Sox vs. Padres

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