Red Sox vs. Padres Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, June 30, 2024

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The Boston Red Sox (43-39) and San Diego Padres (46-41) meet Sunday at Fenway Park, starting at 1:35 PM ET on SDPA. The Red Sox are -110 moneyline favorites for the contest, however, the Padres are favored against the spread of 1.5 runs with +146 odds.

Josh Winckowski takes the mound for Boston while Matt Waldron is San Diego’s starter for the contest.

Red Sox vs. Padres Odds

  • Red Sox odds to win: -110
  • Padres odds to win: -108
  • Spread: Padres -1.5
  • Total: 10 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Sunday, June 30, 2024
  • Time: 1:35 PM ET
  • TV: SDPA
  • Who Will Win Red Sox vs. Padres?

    Red Sox and Padres Betting Trends

    The Red Sox have won 22 of the 40 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (55%).

    Boston has gone 22-18 when it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -110 or shorter (55% winning percentage).

    The Padres have been underdogs in 35 games this season and won 18 (51.4%) of those contests.

    San Diego has entered 34 games this season as the underdog by -108 or more and is 18-16 in those contests.

    The Red Sox have had an over/under set by bookmakers 82 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 39 of those games (39-38-5).

    The Padres’ games have gone over the total in 47 of their 87 chances.

    Red Sox Stats & Insights

    The Red Sox rank 13th in runs scored with 377, 4.6 per game.

    Boston averages 1.1 home runs per game to rank 12th in MLB action with 92 total home runs.

    The Red Sox’s .252 batting average is seventh-best in the majors.

    Boston’s 9.5 strikeouts per game are the fourth-most in baseball.

    The Red Sox pitching staff ranks eighth in the majors with a collective 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings.

    Boston has the eighth-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (3.67).

    Padres Stats & Insights

    The Padres have scored 411 runs this season, which ranks fifth in MLB.

    San Diego has hit 98 homers this season, which ranks fifth in the majors.

    The Padres have a team batting average of .263 this season, which ranks second among MLB teams.

    San Diego has shown good bat-to-ball skills at the plate this season with the second-best strikeout rate (6.8 per game) among MLB offenses.

    The Padres have an 8.9 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, sixth-best in baseball.

    San Diego has the 17th-ranked ERA (4.05) in the majors this season.

    Red Sox Key Players to Watch

    The Red Sox will send Winckowski (1-1) to make his fourth start of the season. He is 1-1 with a 3.26 ERA and 27 strikeouts through 30 1/3 innings pitched.

    Jarren Duran leads Boston in batting average (.287) this season while adding eight home runs and 38 RBI.

    Rafael Devers is batting .282 this season with a team-high 17 home runs and 43 RBI.

    Tyler O’Neill has collected 53 base hits, an OBP of .347 and a slugging percentage of .529 this season.

    Ceddanne Rafaela has collected 68 hits this season and has an OBP of .271. He’s slugging .389 on the year.

    Padres Key Players to Watch

    The Padres’ Waldron (5-6) will make his 17th start of the season.

    Jurickson Profar paces the Padres with 55 runs batted in while racking up a team-high batting average of .315.

    Jake Cronenworth is hitting .262 with 17 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 26 walks.

    Luis Arraez leads the Padres with a .315 batting average.

    Ha-Seong Kim is batting .227 with nine doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 47 walks.

    Red Sox and Padres Injuries

    Red Sox: Vaughn Grissom: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Bryan Mata: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Lucas Giolito: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Chris Murphy: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Triston Casas: 60 Day IL (Rib), Liam Hendriks: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Garrett Whitlock: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Trevor Story: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Padres: Xander Bogaerts: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Fernando Tatis Jr.: 10 Day IL (Quadricep), Luis Campusano: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Glenn Otto: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Yu Darvish: 15 Day IL (Groin), Tom Cosgrove: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Joe Musgrove: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Luis Patiño: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Randy Vasquez: day-to-day (Forearm)

    Red Sox vs. Padres Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Red Sox 4, Padres 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 10 runs
  • How to Bet on Red Sox vs. Padres

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