Mets vs. Nationals Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, July 2, 2024

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The New York Mets (41-41) are favorites (-153) on the moneyline when they take on the Washington Nationals (39-45) Tuesday at 6:45 PM ET, live on MASN.

Sean Manaea will get the ball for New York while Washington will counter with DJ Herz.

Mets vs. Nationals Odds

  • Mets odds to win: -153
  • Nationals odds to win: +131
  • Spread: Mets -1.5
  • Total: 9 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Tuesday, July 2, 2024
  • Time: 6:45 PM ET
  • TV: MASN
  • Who Will Win Mets vs. Nationals?

    Mets and Nationals Betting Trends

    The Mets have won 51.2% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (22-21).

    New York has a 3-2 record (winning 60% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -153 or shorter.

    The Nationals have been underdogs in 69 games this season and won 31 (44.9%) of those contests.

    Washington has a record of 18-27, a 40% win rate, when it’s set as an underdog of +131 or more by bookmakers this season.

    The Mets have played in 82 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 44 times (44-36-2).

    Games involving the Nationals have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 39 of 84 chances this season.

    Mets Stats & Insights

    The Mets are the ninth-highest scoring team in the majors, averaging 4.9 runs per game (402 total).

    New York is fourth in baseball with 104 home runs. They average 1.3 per game.

    The Mets have the ninth-best batting average in the league (.250).

    New York strikes out eight times per game to rank eighth in baseball.

    The 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Mets pitching staff ranks eighth in MLB.

    New York has the 21st-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (4.18).

    Nationals Stats & Insights

    The Nationals rank 19th in the majors with 348 total runs scored this season.

    Washington has hit just 68 homers this season, which ranks 29th in the majors.

    The Nationals rank 20th in MLB with a .236 team batting average.

    Washington has shown good bat-to-ball skills at the plate this season with the seventh-best strikeout rate (7.7 per game) among MLB offenses.

    The Nationals average the 22nd-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.3) in the majors this season.

    Washington pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.01 ERA this year, which ranks 16th in MLB.

    Mets Key Players to Watch

    Manaea makes the start for the Mets, his 16th of the season. He is 5-3 with a 3.89 ERA and 76 strikeouts in 76 1/3 innings pitched.

    Francisco Lindor has been key for New York with 83 hits, an OBP of .312 plus a slugging percentage of .435.

    Pete Alonso is slugging .470 this season, with a team-best 17 homers while driving in 46 runs.

    Brandon Nimmo leads New York in RBI with 50 while batting .247 with 13 home runs.

    Harrison Bader is batting .273 with an OBP of .319 and a slugging percentage of .411 this season.

    Nationals Key Players to Watch

    The Nationals will hand the ball to Herz (1-2) for his sixth start of the season.

    C.J. Abrams has racked up a team-high batting average of .284, and paces the Nationals in home runs (13).

    Jesse Winker has 12 doubles, nine home runs and 43 walks while hitting .263.

    Luis Garcia is hitting .257 with 14 doubles, seven home runs and 12 walks.

    Lane Thomas is batting .239 with eight doubles, three triples, eight home runs and 19 walks.

    Mets and Nationals Injuries

    Mets: Starling Marte: 10 Day IL (Knee), Sean Reid-Foley: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Drew Smith: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Brooks Raley: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Shintaro Fujinami: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Ronny Mauricio: 60 Day IL (Knee), Kodai Senga: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Brandon Nimmo: day-to-day (Forearm)

    Nationals: Joey Gallo: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Trevor Williams: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Josiah Gray: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Mason Thompson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Cade Cavalli: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Jose Ferrer: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Mets vs. Nationals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Nationals 6, Mets 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
  • How to Bet on Mets vs. Nationals

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