Yankees vs. Reds Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, July 4, 2024

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The New York Yankees (54-34) will be out to avoid the sweep when they host the Cincinnati Reds (41-45) to complete a three-game series. Sportsbooks have listed the Yankees as -182 favorites for the series finale, while the Reds are +155 underdogs.

Marcus Stroman will get the ball for New York while Cincinnati will counter with Frankie Montas.

Yankees vs. Reds Odds

  • Yankees odds to win: -182
  • Reds odds to win: +155
  • Spread: Yankees -1.5
  • Total: 9 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Thursday, July 4, 2024
  • Time: 1:05 PM ET
  • TV: BSOH
  • Who Will Win Yankees vs. Reds?

    Yankees and Reds Betting Trends

    The Yankees have won 61.2% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (41-26).

    In games it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -182 or shorter, New York has a record of 8-7 (53.3%).

    The Reds have entered the game as underdogs 50 times this season and won 21, or 42%, of those games.

    This season, Cincinnati has won five of its eight games when it’s the underdog by at least +155 on the moneyline.

    The Yankees have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 46 times this season for a 46-40-2 record against the over/under.

    Games involving the Reds have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 37 of 86 chances this season.

    Yankees Stats & Insights

    The Yankees are the second-highest scoring team in baseball, averaging five runs per game (443 total).

    New York is second in MLB action with 124 home runs. They average 1.4 per game.

    The Yankees are ninth in MLB with a .249 batting average.

    New York strikes out 8 times per game, the No. 14 mark in MLB.

    The Yankees pitching staff ranks 14th in MLB with a collective 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings.

    New York has the fifth-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (3.55).

    Reds Stats & Insights

    The Reds have scored the 16th-most runs in the league this season with 366 (4.3 per game).

    Cincinnati’s 83 home runs rank 20th in Major League Baseball.

    The Reds have a team batting average of just .227 this season, which ranks 27th among MLB teams.

    Cincinnati ranks 23rd with an average of 8.9 strikeouts per game.

    The Reds strike out 8.5 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 17th in MLB.

    Cincinnati has pitched to a 3.84 ERA this season, which ranks 11th in baseball.

    Yankees Key Players to Watch

    Stroman makes the start for the Yankees, his 18th of the season. He is 7-3 with a 3.39 ERA and 70 strikeouts in 95 2/3 innings pitched.

    Aaron Judge leads New York in home runs with 32, runs batted in with 83 and his batting average of .318 is also best on his team.

    Juan Soto has 90 hits and an OBP of .437 to go with a slugging percentage of .560 this season.

    Anthony Volpe has collected 94 base hits, an OBP of .310 and a slugging percentage of .384 this season.

    Alex Verdugo is batting .241 with an OBP of .300 and a slugging percentage of .387 this season.

    Reds Key Players to Watch

    The Reds will hand the ball to Montas (3-6) for his 16th start of the season.

    Elly De La Cruz has hit a team-best 15 home runs.

    Spencer Steer has made the most of his opportunities as he leads his team with 51 RBI.

    Jonathan India leads the Reds with a .272 batting average.

    Jeimer Candelario is batting .240 with 17 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 20 walks.

    Yankees and Reds Injuries

    Yankees: Giancarlo Stanton: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Cody Poteet: 15 Day IL (Tricep), Ian Hamilton: 15 Day IL (Lat), Nick Burdi: 60 Day IL (Hip), Lou Trivino: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Clarke Schmidt: 60 Day IL (Lat), Jon Berti: 60 Day IL (Calf), Anthony Rizzo: 60 Day IL (Wrist), Jonathan Loaisiga: 60 Day IL (Elbow), JT Brubaker: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Scott Effross: 60 Day IL (Back)

    Reds: TJ Friedl: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Nick Lodolo: 15 Day IL (Finger), Christian Encarnacion-Strand: 60 Day IL (Hand), Ian Gibaut: 60 Day IL (Forearm), Tejay Antone: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Brandon Williamson: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Emilio Pagán: 60 Day IL (Lat), Matt McLain: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Yankees vs. Reds Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Yankees 4, Reds 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
  • How to Bet on Yankees vs. Reds

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