Phillies vs. Padres Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, June 19, 2024

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The Philadelphia Phillies (49-24) host the San Diego Padres (37-40) at 1:05 PM ET Wednesday in a meeting between two of the league’s best hitters. Alec Bohm is batting .305 this year (eighth in the league) for the favored Phillies (-181), while Jurickson Profar ranks second in the majors with a .320 average for the underdog Padres.

Ranger Suarez takes the mound for Philadelphia while Matt Waldron is San Diego’s starter for the contest.

Phillies vs. Padres Odds

  • Phillies odds to win: -181
  • Padres odds to win: +153
  • Spread: Phillies -1.5
  • Total: 8.5 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Wednesday, June 19, 2024
  • Time: 1:05 PM ET
  • TV: MLB Network
  • Who Will Win Phillies vs. Padres?

    Phillies and Padres Betting Trends

    The Phillies have won 43 of the 61 games they were favored on the moneyline this season (70.5%).

    Philadelphia has a record of 20-5 when it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -181 or shorter (80% winning percentage).

    The Padres have been underdogs in 30 games this season and won 13 (43.3%) of those contests.

    San Diego has entered eight games this season as the underdog by +153 or more and is 4-4 in those contests.

    In the 73 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Phillies, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 32 times (32-36-5).

    The Padres’ games have gone over the total in 38 of their 77 chances.

    Phillies Stats & Insights

    The Phillies score the third-most runs in baseball (368 total, five per game).

    Philadelphia ranks sixth in MLB play with 84 home runs. They average 1.2 per game.

    The Phillies have the second-best batting average in the majors (.257).

    Philadelphia strikes out 8.3 times per game, the No. 15 average in MLB.

    The Phillies pitching staff is No. 1 in the majors with a collective 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings.

    Philadelphia’s 3.14 team ERA ranks third across all MLB pitching staffs.

    Padres Stats & Insights

    The Padres have scored 338 runs (4.4 per game) this season, which ranks 11th in MLB.

    San Diego has hit 78 homers this season, which ranks 12th in the majors.

    The Padres rank second in MLB with a .257 team batting average.

    San Diego has shown good bat-to-ball skills at the plate this season with the fifth-best strikeout rate (6.9 per game) among MLB offenses.

    The Padres strike out 8.9 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, sixth-best in MLB.

    San Diego has the 17th-ranked ERA (4.08) in the majors this season.

    Phillies Key Players to Watch

    Suarez gets the start for the Phillies, his 15th of the season. He is 10-1 with a 1.77 ERA and 91 strikeouts in 86 1/3 innings pitched.

    Bohm leads Philadelphia in batting average (.305) and runs batted in (60) this season while also slugging seven homers.

    Bryce Harper has collected 71 hits this season and has an OBP of .390. He’s slugging .516 on the year.

    Kyle Schwarber is slugging .468 this season, with a team-high 17 home runs. He’s also collected 48 RBI.

    Bryson Stott has collected 54 hits this season and has an OBP of .337. He’s slugging .363 on the year.

    Padres Key Players to Watch

    The Padres will send Waldron (4-6) to the mound for his 15th start this season.

    Profar paces the Padres with 47 runs batted in while racking up a team-high batting average of .320.

    Fernando Tatis Jr.’s 13 home runs lead his team.

    Ha-Seong Kim is hitting .220 with nine doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 43 walks.

    Luis Arraez is hitting .318 with 14 doubles, a triple, a home run and 12 walks.

    Phillies and Padres Injuries

    Phillies: J.T. Realmuto: 10 Day IL (Knee), Kody Clemens: 10 Day IL (Back), Yunior Marte: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Luis Ortiz: 15 Day IL (Ankle), Dylan Covey: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Michael Rucker: 60 Day IL (Hand)

    Padres: Xander Bogaerts: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Joe Musgrove: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Glenn Otto: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Yu Darvish: 15 Day IL (Groin), Luis Patiño: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Phillies vs. Padres Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 4, Padres 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Phillies vs. Padres

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