Pirates vs. Reds Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, June 19, 2024

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (35-38) and the Cincinnati Reds (35-38) meet in the rubber match of a three-game series on Wednesday at 12:35 PM ET. The Pirates are -134 favorites on the moneyline to win the series over the Reds (+114).

Mitch Keller takes the mound for Pittsburgh while Hunter Greene is Cincinnati’s starter for the contest.

Pirates vs. Reds Odds

  • Pirates odds to win: -134
  • Reds odds to win: +114
  • Spread: Pirates -1.5
  • Total: 7.5 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Wednesday, June 19, 2024
  • Time: 12:35 PM ET
  • TV: SportsNet PT
  • Who Will Win Pirates vs. Reds?

    Pirates and Reds Betting Trends

    The Pirates have won 13 of the 29 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (44.8%).

    Pittsburgh has gone 7-9 when it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -134 or shorter (43.8% winning percentage).

    This season, the Reds have won 16 out of the 41 games, or 39%, in which they’ve been the underdog.

    Cincinnati has entered 25 games this season as the underdog by +114 or more and is 9-16 in those contests.

    The Pirates have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 73 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 35 of those games (35-37-1).

    The Reds and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 31 of their 73 opportunities.

    Pirates Stats & Insights

    The Pirates are the 22nd-highest scoring team in MLB action averaging 4.1 runs per game (298 total).

    Pittsburgh ranks 23rd in MLB with 67 total home runs.

    The Pirates’ .232 batting average ranks 23rd in the majors.

    Pittsburgh’s hitters strike out 9.5 times per game, the 27th-most in the majors.

    The pitching staff for the Pirates has a collective 8.5 K/9, which ranks 15th in the majors.

    Pittsburgh’s 3.97 team ERA ranks 16th across all MLB pitching staffs.

    Reds Stats & Insights

    The Reds have scored the 17th-most runs in the league this season with 309 (4.2 per game).

    Cincinnati’s 72 home runs rank 17th in Major League Baseball.

    The Reds have a team batting average of just .227 this season, which ranks 27th among MLB teams.

    Cincinnati ranks 24th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of nine Ks per contest.

    The Reds have an 8.5 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 15th in the big leagues.

    Cincinnati pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.84 ERA this year, which ranks 11th in MLB.

    Pirates Key Players to Watch

    Keller (8-4) gets the starting nod for the Pirates in his 15th start of the season. He’s put together a 3.36 ERA in 85 2/3 innings pitched, with 78 strikeouts.

    Bryan Reynolds leads Pittsburgh in runs batted in with 39 while batting .274, which is also best on the team.

    Connor Joe is batting .248 with an OBP of .323 and a slugging percentage of .409 this season.

    Andrew McCutchen is slugging .408 this season, with a team-high 10 home runs. He’s also collected 22 RBI.

    Oneil Cruz has 61 hits and an OBP of .300 to go with a slugging percentage of .430 this season.

    Reds Key Players to Watch

    Greene (5-2) will take the mound for the Reds, his 15th start of the season.

    Elly De La Cruz has put up a team-best 12 home runs.

    Spencer Steer has made the most of his opportunities as he paces his team with 43 RBI.

    Jeimer Candelario paces the Reds with 12 home runs and has racked up a team-best batting average of .252.

    Jonathan India is hitting .240 with seven doubles, a triple, four home runs and 35 walks.

    Pirates and Reds Injuries

    Pirates: Ji-Hwan Bae: 10 Day IL (Undisclosed), Joey Bart: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Alika Williams: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Martín Pérez: 15 Day IL (Groin), Hunter Stratton: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Quinn Priester: 15 Day IL (Undisclosed), Marco Gonzales: 60 Day IL (Forearm), Ryan Borucki: 60 Day IL (Tricep), Dauri Moreta: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Johan Oviedo: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Endy Rodriguez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Henry Davis: 7 Day IL (Head)

    Reds: Emilio Pagán: 15 Day IL (Lat), Christian Encarnacion-Strand: 60 Day IL (Hand), Ian Gibaut: 60 Day IL (Forearm), Tejay Antone: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Brandon Williamson: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Matt McLain: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Pirates vs. Reds Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Reds 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Pirates vs. Reds

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