Padres vs. Brewers Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, June 21, 2024

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After a four-hit game last time out, Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the San Diego Padres (39-40) as -158 favorites against the Milwaukee Brewers (44-31). Action gets underway from PETCO Park at 9:40 PM ET on Friday, live on BSWI.

Dylan Cease takes the mound for San Diego while Colin Rea is Milwaukee’s starter for the contest.

Padres vs. Brewers Odds

  • Padres odds to win: -158
  • Brewers odds to win: +134
  • Spread: Padres -1.5
  • Total: 7.5 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Friday, June 21, 2024
  • Time: 9:40 PM ET
  • TV: BSWI
  • Who Will Win Padres vs. Brewers?

    Padres and Brewers Betting Trends

    The Padres have won 25 of the 48 games they were favored on the moneyline this season (52.1%).

    San Diego has a 10-5 record (winning 66.7% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -158 or shorter.

    The Brewers have won 19, or 52.8%, of the 36 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

    Milwaukee is 2-5 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +134 or more on the moneyline.

    The Padres have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 39 times this season for a 39-39-1 record against the over/under.

    So far this season, the Brewers and their opponents have hit the over in 39 of their 75 games with a total.

    Padres Stats & Insights

    The Padres score the ninth-most runs in baseball (350 total, 4.4 per game).

    San Diego is 10th in MLB play with 83 home runs. They average 1.1 per game.

    The Padres have the second-best batting average in the majors (.258).

    San Diego strikes out 6.9 times per game, the fifth-best average in baseball.

    The pitching staff for the Padres has a collective 8.9 K/9, the sixth-best in MLB.

    San Diego’s 4.08 team ERA ranks 18th across all MLB pitching staffs.

    Brewers Stats & Insights

    The Brewers have scored the fifth-most runs in the league this season with 361.

    Milwaukee ranks 15th in Major League Baseball with 78 home runs.

    The Brewers rank seventh in MLB with a .252 team batting average.

    Milwaukee ranks 22nd in strikeouts per game (8.8) among MLB offenses.

    The Brewers strike out 8.1 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 22nd in MLB.

    Milwaukee pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.72 ERA this year, ninth-best in baseball.

    Padres Key Players to Watch

    Cease gets the start for the Padres, his 16th of the season. He is 6-6 with a 3.95 ERA and 106 strikeouts in 86 2/3 innings pitched.

    Jurickson Profar is batting .321 with 48 RBI, both of which lead San Diego hitters this season.

    Tatis is slugging .469 this season, with a team-best 14 homers while driving in 36 runs.

    Ha-Seong Kim is slashing .214/.329/.377 this season for the Padres.

    Luis Arraez is batting .315 with an OBP of .351 and a slugging percentage of .379 this season.

    Brewers Key Players to Watch

    The Brewers will hand the ball to Rea (6-2) for his 13th start of the season.

    William Contreras has a team-best batting average of .300.

    Willy Adames has hit 13 home runs with 54 runs batted in. Both pace his team.

    Brice Turang is batting .286 with 14 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 25 walks.

    Christian Yelich has eight doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 24 walks while batting .322.

    Padres and Brewers Injuries

    Padres: Xander Bogaerts: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Joe Musgrove: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Glenn Otto: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Yu Darvish: 15 Day IL (Groin), Luis Patiño: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Luis Campusano: day-to-day (Thumb)

    Brewers: Robert Gasser: 15 Day IL (Flexor), Taylor Clarke: 15 Day IL (Meniscus), Joe Ross: 15 Day IL (Back), Devin Williams: 60 Day IL (Back), Brandon Woodruff: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Garrett Mitchell: 60 Day IL (Finger), Wade Miley: 60 Day IL (Elbow), D.L. Hall: 60 Day IL (Knee), J.B. Bukauskas: 60 Day IL (Lat)

    Padres vs. Brewers Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Padres 5, Brewers 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Padres vs. Brewers

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