Lynx vs Mercury: Best Bets, Player Props & Computer Picks – June 22

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The Phoenix Mercury (8-7) will look to Kahleah Copper (third in WNBA, 23.5 points per game) going up against Napheesa Collier (fourth in league, 20.7) and the Minnesota Lynx (12-3) on Saturday, June 22, 2024 at Target Center. The matchup starts at 8:00 PM ET.

If you are trying to make an informed wager on Saturday’s game, dig into the best bets available for this matchup, below (according to our computer predictions).

Pick the Lynx (-5.5) to Cover

  • The Lynx have covered the spread 11 times in 15 games with a set spread.
  • The Mercury have registered a 10-5-0 record against the spread this year.
  • The Lynx have an ATS record of 4-3 when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites.
  • The Mercury are 5-3 ATS when playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs.
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    Take the Under (166.5)

  • The Lynx and their opponents have gone over 166.5 combined points in four of 15 games this season.
  • Mercury games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 166.5 points in seven of 15 outings.
  • The two teams combine to score 168.6 points per game, 2.1 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
  • These teams surrender a combined 160.5 points per game, six fewer points than this contest’s total.
  • Lynx matchups this year have an average point total of 163.5, three fewer points than this game’s over/under.
  • Mercury matchups this season have a 167.2-point average over/under, 0.7 more points than this game’s point total.
  • Back the Lynx on the Moneyline (-200)

  • The Lynx have won 85.7% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (6-1).
  • This season, the Mercury have won five out of the 11 games, or 45.5%, in which they’ve been the underdog.
  • The Lynx have a 6-1 record (winning 85.7% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -200 or shorter.
  • The Mercury have a record of 3-6 in games where bookmakers have them as underdogs of at least +165 on the moneyline.
  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Lynx have an implied win probability of 66.7%.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mercury have a 37.7% chance to win.
  • Top Lynx Props

    Name Points O/U Rebounds O/U Assists O/U
    Napheesa Collier 20.5 9.5 3.5
    Kayla McBride 17.5 3.5
    Alanna Smith 11.5 4.5
    Courtney Williams 10.5 4.5 5.5

    Top Mercury Props

    Name Points O/U Rebounds O/U Assists O/U
    Kahleah Copper 21.5 4.5
    Brittney Griner 19.5 7.5
    Diana Taurasi 16.5 4.5 3.5
    Natasha Cloud 4.5 6.5
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