Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, June 27, 2024

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The Philadelphia Phillies (53-27) will look to Brandon Marsh, red hot after a four-hit game, to lead them in a matchup with the Miami Marlins (28-52) on Thursday at 6:20 PM ET on NBCS-PH. The Phillies are -303 favorites for the contest, according to sportsbooks.

Philadelphia’s Zack Wheeler and Miami’s Trevor Rogers have been named the starters for this contest.

Phillies vs. Marlins Odds

  • Phillies odds to win: -303
  • Marlins odds to win: +247
  • Spread: Phillies -1.5
  • Total: 8 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Thursday, June 27, 2024
  • Time: 6:20 PM ET
  • TV: NBCS-PH
  • Who Will Win Phillies vs. Marlins?

    Phillies and Marlins Betting Trends

    The Phillies have gone 47-21 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 69.1% of those games).

    Philadelphia has played as moneyline favorites of -303 or shorter in only one game this season, which it won.

    This season, the Marlins have won 25 out of the 65 games, or 38.5%, in which they’ve been the underdog.

    Miami has played as an underdog of +247 or more twice this season and lost both games.

    The Phillies have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 34 times this season for a 34-41-5 record against the over/under.

    Games involving the Marlins have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 41 of 80 chances this season.

    Phillies Stats & Insights

    The Phillies are the fourth-highest scoring team in baseball, averaging 5.1 runs per game (405 total).

    Philadelphia averages 1.2 home runs per game to rank fifth in baseball with 96 total home runs.

    The Phillies’ .259 batting average is third-best in the majors.

    Philadelphia strikes out 8.3 times per game, the No. 15 mark in MLB.

    The pitching staff for the Phillies has a collective nine K/9, the third-best in MLB.

    Philadelphia has the first-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (3.07).

    Marlins Stats & Insights

    The Marlins have scored the 29th-most runs in the league this season with just 277 (3.5 per game).

    Miami’s 63 home runs rank last in MLB this season.

    The Marlins rank 24th in MLB with a .230 team batting average.

    Miami has shown good bat-to-ball skills at the plate this season with the 10th-best strikeout rate (eight per game) among MLB offenses.

    The Marlins have an 8.1 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 23rd in the big leagues.

    Miami pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.61 ERA this year, which ranks 27th in MLB.

    Phillies Key Players to Watch

    Wheeler (9-4 with a 2.73 ERA and 107 strikeouts in 99 2/3 innings pitched) aims for his 10th win when he makes the start for the Phillies, his 17th of the season.

    Bryce Harper leads Philadelphia in homers with 20 while also maintaining a team-best .305 batting average.

    Alec Bohm leads Philadelphia in runs batted in with 64 while batting .304 with nine homers.

    Kyle Schwarber is slashing .250/.375/.449 this season for the Phillies.

    Bryson Stott has collected 60 hits this season and has an OBP of .337. He’s slugging .363 on the year.

    Marlins Key Players to Watch

    The Marlins’ Rogers (1-8) will make his 16th start of the season.

    Jazz Chisholm leads the Marlins with 37 runs batted in while accumulating a team-best batting average of .264.

    Bryan De La Cruz has hit 14 home runs to lead his team.

    Josh Bell has 13 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 24 walks while batting .243.

    Jesus Sanchez is batting .233 with 10 doubles, seven home runs and 14 walks.

    Phillies and Marlins Injuries

    Phillies: J.T. Realmuto: 10 Day IL (Knee), Kody Clemens: 10 Day IL (Back), Spencer Turnbull: 15 Day IL (Back), Taijuan Walker: 15 Day IL (Index finger), Luis Ortiz: 15 Day IL (Ankle), Dylan Covey: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Michael Rucker: 60 Day IL (Hand)

    Marlins: Ryan Weathers: 15 Day IL (Finger), Braxton Garrett: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Bryan Hoeing: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Sandy Alcantara: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Josh Simpson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Sixto Sanchez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Edward Cabrera: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Jesús Luzardo: 60 Day IL (Back), Eury Pérez: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Marlins 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
  • How to Bet on Phillies vs. Marlins

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