Mariners vs. Twins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, June 28, 2024

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Willi Castro (10 games) will look to add to his hitting streak when the Minnesota Twins (45-36) and Seattle Mariners (46-37) meet Friday at 9:40 PM ET, live on ROOT Sports NW from T-Mobile Park. Willi Castro and the Twins are listed as underdogs on the moneyline by oddsmakers (+111).

Seattle’s Logan Gilbert and Minnesota’s Bailey Ober have been named the starters for this contest.

Mariners vs. Twins Odds

  • Mariners odds to win: -130
  • Twins odds to win: +111
  • Spread: Mariners -1.5
  • Total: 7 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Friday, June 28, 2024
  • Time: 9:40 PM ET
  • TV: ROOT Sports NW
  • Who Will Win Mariners vs. Twins?

    Mariners and Twins Betting Trends

    The Mariners have a 29-20 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 59.2% of those games).

    Seattle has gone 23-13 (winning 63.9% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -130 or shorter.

    The Twins have entered the game as underdogs 24 times this season and won eight, or 33.3%, of those games.

    Minnesota has entered 11 games this season as the underdog by +111 or more and is 3-8 in those contests.

    The Mariners have played in 83 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 34 times (34-44-5).

    The Twins and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 39 of their 81 opportunities.

    Mariners Stats & Insights

    The Mariners are the 25th-highest scoring team in MLB play averaging 3.9 runs per game (325 total).

    Seattle is eighth in baseball with 92 home runs. They average 1.1 per game.

    The Mariners are 29th in the majors with a .219 batting average.

    Seattle strikes out 10.1 times per game, the worst mark in the majors.

    The pitching staff for the Mariners has a collective 8.6 K/9, which ranks 14th in the majors.

    Seattle’s 3.57 team ERA ranks eighth across all MLB pitching staffs.

    Twins Stats & Insights

    The Twins have scored the sixth-most runs in the league this season with 392.

    Minnesota’s 96 home runs rank sixth in Major League Baseball.

    The Twins’ .249 batting average is among the best in baseball, ranking ninth in MLB.

    Minnesota ranks 10th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of eight Ks per contest.

    The Twins have a 9.1 K/9 this season as a staff, which is best in baseball.

    Minnesota pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.20 ERA this year, which ranks 22nd in MLB.

    Mariners Key Players to Watch

    Gilbert gets the start for the Mariners, his 17th of the season. He is 5-4 with a 2.71 ERA and 99 strikeouts in 106 1/3 innings pitched.

    Caleb Raleigh leads Seattle in home runs with 14 and runs batted in with 49.

    J.P. Crawford has 48 hits and an OBP of .315 to go with a slugging percentage of .371 this season.

    Julio Rodriguez is batting .252 to lead Seattle, while adding seven homers and 29 runs batted in this season.

    Dylan Moore is batting .209 with an OBP of .316 and a slugging percentage of .413 this season.

    Twins Key Players to Watch

    Ober (7-4) will take the mound for the Twins, his 16th start of the season.

    Carlos Correa leads the Twins with a team-best batting average of .309.

    Carlos Santana is hitting .254 with 14 doubles, 12 home runs and 27 walks.

    Castro is batting .277 with 21 doubles, five triples, seven home runs and 26 walks.

    Ryan Jeffers’ 13 home runs and 41 runs batted in both lead his team.

    Mariners and Twins Injuries

    Mariners: Bryan Woo: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Gabe Speier: 15 Day IL (Rotator cuff), Matt Brash: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Jackson Kowar: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Gregory Santos: 60 Day IL (Lat), Sam Haggerty: 60 Day IL (Achilles), Luke Raley: day-to-day (Shoulder)

    Twins: Alex Kirilloff: 10 Day IL (Back), Brock Stewart: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Chris Paddack: 15 Day IL (Arm), Anthony DeSclafani: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Justin Topa: 60 Day IL (Knee), Zack Weiss: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Daniel Duarte: 60 Day IL (Tricep)

    Mariners vs. Twins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mariners 4, Twins 3
  • Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
  • How to Bet on Mariners vs. Twins

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