Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, June 28, 2024

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The Philadelphia Phillies will take the field against the Miami Marlins (29-52) on Friday. The game begins at 6:20 PM ET on BSFL, with the Phillies listed as -222 favorites on the moneyline.

Philadelphia’s Cristopher Sanchez gets the start, and he’ll go against Miami’s Kyle Tyler.

Phillies vs. Marlins Odds

  • Phillies odds to win: -222
  • Marlins odds to win: +186
  • Spread: Phillies -1.5
  • Total: 8 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Friday, June 28, 2024
  • Time: 6:20 PM ET
  • TV: BSFL
  • Who Will Win Phillies vs. Marlins?

    Phillies and Marlins Betting Trends

    The Phillies have a 47-22 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 68.1% of those games).

    Philadelphia has gone 11-1 when playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -222 or shorter (91.7% winning percentage).

    The Marlins have won 26, or 39.4%, of the 66 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

    Miami has entered eight games this season as the underdog by +186 or more and is 1-7 in those contests.

    The Phillies have played in 81 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 35 times (35-41-5).

    The Marlins and their opponents have hit the over in 42 of their 81 games with a total this season.

    Phillies Stats & Insights

    The Phillies score the third-most runs in baseball (409 total, five per game).

    Philadelphia averages 1.2 home runs per game to rank fourth in baseball with 97 total home runs.

    The Phillies’ .259 batting average is third-best in the majors.

    Philadelphia’s 8.2 strikeouts per game rank 15th in MLB.

    The Phillies pitching staff ranks third in the majors with a collective nine strikeouts per nine innings.

    Philadelphia’s 3.11 team ERA ranks first among all MLB pitching staffs.

    Marlins Stats & Insights

    The Marlins have scored 284 runs (just 3.5 per game) this season, which ranks 29th in MLB.

    Miami has hit just 64 homers this season, which ranks last in the majors.

    The Marlins rank 23rd in MLB with a .232 team batting average.

    Miami ranks 10th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of eight Ks per contest.

    The Marlins strike out 8.1 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 23rd in MLB.

    Miami pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.59 ERA this year, which ranks 26th in MLB.

    Phillies Key Players to Watch

    Sanchez (5-3 with a 2.67 ERA and 70 strikeouts in 84 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Phillies, his 16th of the season.

    Alec Bohm is batting .301 for Philadelphia with a team-high 65 RBI.

    Bryson Stott is batting .242 with an OBP of .337 and a slugging percentage of .363 this season.

    Nicholas Castellanos is slashing .222/.282/.379 this season for the Phillies.

    Trea Turner is batting .333 with an OBP of .385 and a slugging percentage of .458 this season.

    Marlins Key Players to Watch

    Tyler will take to the mound for the Marlins, his second start of the season.

    Jazz Chisholm paces the Marlins with a .260 batting average.

    Bryan De La Cruz has hit 14 home runs with 39 runs batted in. Both are team-highs.

    Josh Bell has 14 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 24 walks while batting .243.

    Jesus Sanchez has 10 doubles, seven home runs and 15 walks while batting .236.

    Phillies and Marlins Injuries

    Phillies: Bryce Harper: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), J.T. Realmuto: 10 Day IL (Knee), Kyle Schwarber: 10 Day IL (Groin), Spencer Turnbull: 15 Day IL (Back), Taijuan Walker: 15 Day IL (Index finger), Luis Ortiz: 15 Day IL (Ankle), Dylan Covey: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Michael Rucker: 60 Day IL (Hand)

    Marlins: Ryan Weathers: 15 Day IL (Finger), Braxton Garrett: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Bryan Hoeing: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Sandy Alcantara: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Josh Simpson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Sixto Sanchez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Edward Cabrera: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Jesús Luzardo: 60 Day IL (Back), Eury Pérez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Jazz Chisholm: day-to-day (Undisclosed)

    Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Marlins 3
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • How to Bet on Phillies vs. Marlins

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