Mets vs. Astros Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, June 29, 2024

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The New York Mets (40-39) are favored on the moneyline (-118) in Saturday’s contest against the Houston Astros (40-41). Game time is at 4:10 PM ET on WPIX. The Astros, with +161 odds, are favored against the spread (1.5).

New York’s Tylor Megill gets the start, and he’ll go against Houston’s Framber Valdez.

Mets vs. Astros Odds

  • Mets odds to win: -118
  • Astros odds to win: +100
  • Spread: Astros -1.5
  • Total: 8.5 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Saturday, June 29, 2024
  • Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • TV: WPIX
  • Who Will Win Mets vs. Astros?

    Mets and Astros Betting Trends

    The Mets have gone 21-19 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 52.5% of those games).

    New York has gone 15-15 (winning 50% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -118 or shorter.

    This season, the Astros have been the underdog 18 times and won nine, or 50%, of those games.

    Houston has a record of 5-5, a 50% win rate, when it’s set as an underdog of +100 or more by oddsmakers this season.

    In the 79 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Mets, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 41 times (41-36-2).

    So far this season, the Astros and their opponents have hit the over in 29 of their 81 games with a total.

    Mets Stats & Insights

    The Mets have the No. 11 offense in MLB play scoring 4.8 runs per game (382 total runs).

    New York is fourth-best in MLB play with 100 total home runs.

    The Mets rank eighth in MLB with a .250 batting average.

    New York strikes out 7.9 times per game, the sixth-best mark in the majors.

    The pitching staff for the Mets has a collective 8.9 K/9, the sixth-best in the majors.

    New York has a 4.06 team ERA that ranks 17th among all MLB pitching staffs.

    Astros Stats & Insights

    The Astros have scored the 13th-most runs in the league this season with 369 (4.6 per game).

    Houston has hit 95 homers this season, which ranks eighth in the majors.

    The Astros rank first in the majors with a .264 team batting average.

    Houston is the best at avoiding strikeouts in MLB this season with only 551 as a team.

    The Astros strike out 8.7 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 11th in MLB.

    Houston pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.07 ERA this year, which ranks 18th in MLB.

    Mets Key Players to Watch

    Megill gets the start for the Mets, his eighth of the season. He is 2-4 with a 4.81 ERA and 43 strikeouts through 33 2/3 innings pitched.

    Francisco Lindor is batting .249 with 13 home runs and 40 RBI for New York this season.

    Pete Alonso is slugging .472 this season, with a team-best 17 homers while driving in 44 runs.

    Brandon Nimmo is among the top hitters for New York with a .240 average, 12 homers and 46 RBI.

    Harrison Bader has 60 hits and an OBP of .315 to go with a slugging percentage of .414 this season.

    Astros Key Players to Watch

    The Astros will hand the ball to Valdez (6-5) for his 14th start of the season.

    Yordan Alvarez has put up a team-high 41 runs batted in.

    Jose Altuve is batting .304 to lead his team.

    Alex Bregman has 15 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 26 walks while batting .249.

    Yainer Diaz is batting .278 with 12 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 11 walks.

    Mets and Astros Injuries

    Mets: Starling Marte: 10 Day IL (Knee), Sean Reid-Foley: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Drew Smith: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Brooks Raley: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Shintaro Fujinami: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Ronny Mauricio: 60 Day IL (Knee), Kodai Senga: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Astros: Kyle Tucker: 10 Day IL (Shin), Victor Caratini: 10 Day IL (Hip), Jake Bloss: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Justin Verlander: 15 Day IL (Neck), Jose Urquidy: 60 Day IL (Forearm), Luis Garcia: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Oliver Ortega: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Cristian Javier: 60 Day IL (Forearm), Lance McCullers Jr.: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Penn Murfee: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kendall Graveman: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Bennett Sousa: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Mets vs. Astros Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mets 6, Astros 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Mets vs. Astros

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