Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, June 29, 2024

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The Philadelphia Phillies (54-28) are -260 moneyline favorites to win Saturday when they plan to send Aaron Nola to the mound to face the Miami Marlins (29-53). Nola will try to earn his 10th win when the teams hit the field at 4:05 PM ET, live on NBCS-PH.

Philadelphia’s Nola and Miami’s Roddery Munoz have been named the starters for this contest.

Phillies vs. Marlins Odds

  • Phillies odds to win: -260
  • Marlins odds to win: +214
  • Spread: Phillies -1.5
  • Total: 9 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Saturday, June 29, 2024
  • Time: 4:05 PM ET
  • TV: NBCS-PH
  • Who Will Win Phillies vs. Marlins?

    Phillies and Marlins Betting Trends

    The Phillies have compiled a 48-22 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 68.6% of those games).

    Philadelphia has gone 5-1 (winning 83.3% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -260 or shorter.

    This season, the Marlins have been the underdog 67 times and won 26, or 38.8%, of those games.

    Miami has entered six games this season as the underdog by +214 or more and is 1-5 in those contests.

    In the 82 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Phillies, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 35 times (35-42-5).

    Games involving the Marlins have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 42 of 82 chances this season.

    Phillies Stats & Insights

    The Phillies score the fourth-most runs in baseball (411 total, five per game).

    Philadelphia is fifth in baseball with 97 home runs. They average 1.2 per game.

    The Phillies’ .259 batting average is third-best in MLB.

    Philadelphia strikes out 8.2 times per game, the No. 16 average in the majors.

    The nine strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Phillies pitching staff ranks fourth in the majors.

    Philadelphia has the top team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (3.05).

    Marlins Stats & Insights

    The Marlins have scored 284 runs (just 3.5 per game) this season, which ranks 29th in MLB.

    Miami ranks last in Major League Baseball with just 64 home runs as a team.

    The Marlins rank 23rd in MLB with a .230 team batting average.

    Miami ranks 11th in strikeouts per game (eight) among MLB offenses.

    The Marlins have an 8.1 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 23rd in the majors.

    Miami has the 26th-ranked ERA (4.56) in the majors this season.

    Phillies Key Players to Watch

    Nola (9-3) is looking for his 10th win when he takes the mound for the Phillies in his 17th start of the season. He’s put together a 3.39 ERA in 101 2/3 innings pitched, with 90 strikeouts.

    Alec Bohm is batting .300 for Philadelphia with a team-high 65 RBI.

    Bryson Stott is batting .239 with an OBP of .332 and a slugging percentage of .359 this season.

    Nicholas Castellanos has collected 70 base hits, an OBP of .282 and a slugging percentage of .378 this season.

    Trea Turner is batting .331 with an OBP of .383 and a slugging percentage of .459 this season.

    Marlins Key Players to Watch

    Munoz (1-3) will take to the mound for the Marlins and make his eighth start of the season.

    Jazz Chisholm has racked up a team-best batting average of .260.

    Bryan De La Cruz has put his power on display as he leads his team with 14 home runs and 39 RBI.

    Josh Bell has 14 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 24 walks while hitting .239.

    Jesus Sanchez is hitting .236 with 10 doubles, seven home runs and 15 walks.

    Phillies and Marlins Injuries

    Phillies: Bryce Harper: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), J.T. Realmuto: 10 Day IL (Knee), Kyle Schwarber: 10 Day IL (Groin), Spencer Turnbull: 15 Day IL (Back), Taijuan Walker: 15 Day IL (Index finger), Luis Ortiz: 15 Day IL (Ankle), Dylan Covey: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Michael Rucker: 60 Day IL (Hand)

    Marlins: Ryan Weathers: 15 Day IL (Finger), Braxton Garrett: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Bryan Hoeing: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Sandy Alcantara: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Josh Simpson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Sixto Sanchez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Edward Cabrera: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Jesús Luzardo: 60 Day IL (Back), Eury Pérez: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Marlins 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
  • How to Bet on Phillies vs. Marlins

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