Mets vs. Astros Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, June 30, 2024

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The New York Mets (40-40) and the Houston Astros (41-41) meet in the rubber match of a three-game series on Sunday at 1:40 PM ET. The Mets are -126 favorites on the moneyline to win the series over the Astros (+107).

New York’s Luis Severino gets the start, and he’ll go against Houston’s Shawn Dubin.

Mets vs. Astros Odds

  • Mets odds to win: -126
  • Astros odds to win: +107
  • Spread: Mets -1.5
  • Total: 9 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Sunday, June 30, 2024
  • Time: 1:40 PM ET
  • TV: WPIX
  • Who Will Win Mets vs. Astros?

    Mets and Astros Betting Trends

    The Mets have won 21 of the 41 games they were favored on the moneyline this season (51.2%).

    New York has a record of 12-10 when it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -126 or shorter (54.5% winning percentage).

    The Astros have entered the game as underdogs 19 times this season and won 10, or 52.6%, of those games.

    Houston has a record of 5-3 in games where bookmakers have it as underdogs of at least +107 on the moneyline.

    The Mets have had an over/under set by bookmakers 80 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 42 of those games (42-36-2).

    Games involving the Astros have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 30 of 82 chances this season.

    Mets Stats & Insights

    The Mets have the No. 10 offense in MLB action scoring 4.9 runs per game (388 total runs).

    New York ranks fourth in MLB action with 101 home runs. They average 1.3 per game.

    The Mets rank eighth in MLB with a .251 batting average.

    New York strikes out 7.9 times per game, the seventh-best mark in the majors.

    The pitching staff for the Mets has a collective 8.9 K/9, the sixth-best in the majors.

    New York has a 4.12 team ERA that ranks 19th among all MLB pitching staffs.

    Astros Stats & Insights

    The Astros have scored the 12th-most runs in the league this season with 378 (4.6 per game).

    Houston has hit 96 homers this season, which ranks eighth in the majors.

    No team has a better batting average than the .264 AVG the Astros have posted this season.

    Houston has the fewest strikeouts in MLB, fanning only 6.8 times per game on average.

    The Astros strike out 8.7 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 10th-best in MLB.

    Houston has pitched to a 4.09 ERA this season, which ranks 18th in baseball.

    Mets Key Players to Watch

    Severino gets the start for the Mets, his 16th of the season. He is 5-2 with a 3.29 ERA and 71 strikeouts in 90 1/3 innings pitched.

    Francisco Lindor has been key for New York with 82 hits, an OBP of .318 plus a slugging percentage of .445.

    Pete Alonso leads New York in home runs with 17 while driving in 46 runs and slugging .472.

    Brandon Nimmo leads New York in runs batted in (47) this season. He has a .239 batting average and a .430 slugging percentage.

    Harrison Bader has 61 hits and an OBP of .314 to go with a slugging percentage of .412 this season.

    Astros Key Players to Watch

    Dubin gets the nod for the Astros and will make his first start of the season.

    Yordan Alvarez paces the Astros with 41 runs batted in.

    Jose Altuve is hitting .301 to lead his team.

    Alex Bregman has 15 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 26 walks while hitting .248.

    Jeremy Pena is batting .281 with 14 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 16 walks.

    Mets and Astros Injuries

    Mets: Starling Marte: 10 Day IL (Knee), Sean Reid-Foley: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Drew Smith: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Brooks Raley: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Shintaro Fujinami: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Ronny Mauricio: 60 Day IL (Knee), Kodai Senga: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Astros: Kyle Tucker: 10 Day IL (Shin), Victor Caratini: 10 Day IL (Hip), Jake Bloss: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Justin Verlander: 15 Day IL (Neck), Jose Urquidy: 60 Day IL (Forearm), Luis Garcia: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Oliver Ortega: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Cristian Javier: 60 Day IL (Forearm), Lance McCullers Jr.: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Penn Murfee: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kendall Graveman: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Bennett Sousa: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Mets vs. Astros Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Astros 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
  • How to Bet on Mets vs. Astros

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