Astros vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, July 1, 2024

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Yainer Diaz will look to extend his 10-game hitting streak when the Houston Astros (42-41) take on the Toronto Blue Jays (38-45). The Astros are listed as -132 favorites on the moneyline for the contest, which starts at 3:07 PM ET on Monday, live on SNET from Rogers Centre.

Houston’s Hunter Brown gets the start, and he’ll go against Toronto’s Yariel Rodriguez.

Astros vs. Blue Jays Odds

  • Astros odds to win: -132
  • Blue Jays odds to win: +113
  • Spread: Astros -1.5
  • Total: 8.5 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Monday, July 1, 2024
  • Time: 3:07 PM ET
  • TV: SNET
  • Who Will Win Astros vs. Blue Jays?

    Astros and Blue Jays Betting Trends

    The Astros have gone 31-32 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 49.2% of those games).

    Houston has gone 25-19 (winning 56.8% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -132 or shorter.

    The Blue Jays have won nine, or 27.3%, of the 33 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

    Toronto is 5-10 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +113 or more on the moneyline.

    The Astros have had an over/under set by bookmakers 83 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 31 of those games (31-48-4).

    The Blue Jays and their opponents have hit the over in 39 of their 83 games with a total this season.

    Astros Stats & Insights

    The Astros rank 12th in runs scored with 388, 4.7 per game.

    Houston averages 1.2 home runs per game to rank eighth in baseball with 97 total home runs.

    The Astros lead the majors with a .265 batting average.

    Houston strikes out 6.8 times per game, the fewest Ks in MLB.

    The 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Astros pitching staff ranks 10th in the majors.

    Houston has a 4.08 team ERA that ranks 18th across all MLB pitching staffs.

    Blue Jays Stats & Insights

    The Blue Jays have scored the 24th-most runs in the league this season with 335 (four per game).

    Toronto’s 75 home runs rank 27th in MLB this season.

    The Blue Jays’ .236 batting average ranks 20th in the league this season.

    Toronto has shown good bat-to-ball skills at the plate this season with the third-best strikeout rate (7.3 per game) among MLB offenses.

    The Blue Jays have an 8.2 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 22nd in the big leagues.

    Toronto has the 23rd-ranked ERA (4.31) in the majors this season.

    Astros Key Players to Watch

    Brown makes the start for the Astros, his 16th of the season. He is 5-5 with a 4.37 ERA and 89 strikeouts in 80 1/3 innings pitched.

    Yordan Alvarez leads Houston in runs batted in with 41 while batting .294.

    Jose Altuve leads Houston in batting with a .304 average while slugging 13 homers and driving in 37 runs.

    Alex Bregman has collected 78 base hits, an OBP of .307 and a slugging percentage of .397 this season.

    Diaz leads Houston in runs batted in (41) this season. He’s batting .282 while slugging .421.

    Blue Jays Key Players to Watch

    The Blue Jays will hand the ball to Rodriguez (0-2) for his sixth start of the season.

    Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the Blue Jays with 13 home runs and 50 runs batted in, while racking up a team-high batting average of .297.

    Isiah Kiner-Falefa has eight doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 13 walks while hitting .292.

    George Springer is hitting .214 with 11 doubles, eight home runs and 34 walks.

    Daulton Varsho is batting .199 with 14 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 27 walks.

    Astros and Blue Jays Injuries

    Astros: Kyle Tucker: 10 Day IL (Shin), Victor Caratini: 10 Day IL (Hip), Jake Bloss: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Justin Verlander: 15 Day IL (Neck), Jose Urquidy: 60 Day IL (Forearm), Luis Garcia: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Oliver Ortega: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Cristian Javier: 60 Day IL (Forearm), Lance McCullers Jr.: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Penn Murfee: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kendall Graveman: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Bennett Sousa: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Blue Jays: Jordan Romano: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Alek Manoah: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Yimi Garcia: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: day-to-day (Finger)

    Astros vs. Blue Jays Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Blue Jays 5, Astros 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Astros vs. Blue Jays

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