Mets vs. Nationals Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, July 1, 2024

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Coming off of a 1-2 series loss to the Astros, the New York Mets (40-41) are -119 favorites to pick up the win in Game 1 of a four-game series against the Washington Nationals (39-44). The series begins at Nationals Park, starting on Monday at 6:45 PM ET on MLB Network.

New York’s David Peterson gets the start, and he’ll go against Washington’s MacKenzie Gore.

Mets vs. Nationals Odds

  • Mets odds to win: -119
  • Nationals odds to win: +101
  • Spread: Mets -1.5
  • Total: 8.5 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Monday, July 1, 2024
  • Time: 6:45 PM ET
  • TV: MLB Network
  • Who Will Win Mets vs. Nationals?

    Mets and Nationals Betting Trends

    The Mets have won 21 of the 42 games they were favored on the moneyline this season (50%).

    New York has a record of 14-15 when it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -119 or shorter (48.3% winning percentage).

    The Nationals have won 31, or 45.6%, of the 68 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

    Washington has entered 67 games this season as the underdog by +101 or more and is 30-37 in those contests.

    The Mets have played in 81 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 43 times (43-36-2).

    So far this season, the Nationals and their opponents have hit the over in 38 of their 83 games with a total.

    Mets Stats & Insights

    The Mets score the 10th-most runs in baseball (393 total, 4.9 per game).

    New York averages 1.3 home runs per game to rank fourth in MLB play with 102 total home runs.

    The Mets rank 10th in the majors with a .249 batting average.

    New York strikes out 7.9 times per game, the sixth-fewest average in MLB.

    The 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Mets pitching staff ranks eighth in the majors.

    New York has the 21st-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (4.16).

    Nationals Stats & Insights

    The Nationals have scored 341 runs (4.1 per game) this season, which ranks 21st in MLB.

    Washington ranks 29th in Major League Baseball with just 68 home runs as a team.

    The Nationals’ .235 batting average ranks 22nd in the league this season.

    Washington is one of the best teams in baseball at making contact this season, ranking eighth with an average of 7.8 strikeouts per game.

    The Nationals have an 8.2 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 22nd in the majors.

    Washington has pitched to a 3.99 ERA this season, which ranks 16th in baseball.

    Mets Key Players to Watch

    Peterson (3-0 with a 3.67 ERA and 20 strikeouts in 27 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Mets, his sixth of the season.

    Francisco Lindor has been key for New York with 13 home runs, 40 RBI and a batting average of .248 this season.

    Pete Alonso leads New York in home runs with 17 while driving in 46 runs and slugging .474.

    Brandon Nimmo is among the top hitters for New York with a .247 average, 13 homers and 50 RBI.

    Harrison Bader has collected 61 hits this season and has an OBP of .313. He’s slugging .410 on the year.

    Nationals Key Players to Watch

    The Nationals will hand the ball to Gore (6-7) for his 17th start of the season.

    C.J. Abrams leads the Nationals in home runs (13), runs batted in (42) and has put up a team-best batting average of .283.

    Jesse Winker is hitting .260 with 11 doubles, nine home runs and 42 walks.

    Luis Garcia is batting .260 with 14 doubles, seven home runs and 12 walks.

    Lane Thomas is hitting .239 with eight doubles, three triples, eight home runs and 19 walks.

    Mets and Nationals Injuries

    Mets: Starling Marte: 10 Day IL (Knee), Sean Reid-Foley: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Drew Smith: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Brooks Raley: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Shintaro Fujinami: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Ronny Mauricio: 60 Day IL (Knee), Kodai Senga: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Brandon Nimmo: day-to-day (Forearm)

    Nationals: Joey Gallo: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Trevor Williams: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Josiah Gray: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Mason Thompson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Cade Cavalli: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Jose Ferrer: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Mets vs. Nationals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Nationals 5, Mets 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Mets vs. Nationals

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