Sun vs Mercury: Best Bets, Player Props & Computer Picks – July 1

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The Phoenix Mercury (9-9) will turn to Kahleah Copper (21.8 points per game, third in WNBA) when they try to take down DeWanna Bonner (16.7, 12th) and the Connecticut Sun (14-4) on Monday, July 1, 2024 at Footprint Center. It tips at 10:00 PM ET.

Looking to make an informed wager on Monday’s game? Find out the best bets available in this matchup (based on our computer predictions) below.

Pick the Mercury (+3.5) to Cover

  • The Sun have covered the spread seven times in 18 games with a set spread.
  • The Mercury have covered the spread in a matchup 11 times this season (11-7-0).
  • The Sun are 6-8 ATS when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
  • In games this year when an underdog by 3.5 points or more, the Mercury have gone 7-4 against the spread.
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    Take the Over (157.5)

  • The Sun and their opponents have combined to score more than 157.5 points in nine of 18 games this season.
  • The Mercury have combined with their opponent to score more than 157.5 points in 14 of 18 games this season.
  • These two teams rack up 162.2 points per game between them, 4.7 more than this game’s over/under.
  • Opponents of these teams put up 157.9 combined points per game, 0.4 more points than this contest’s over/under.
  • The average total in Sun matchups this year is 158.4, 0.9 more points than this game’s over/under.
  • The average total for Mercury games this season has been 167.7, 10.2 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
  • Back the Sun on the Moneyline (-165)

  • The Sun have compiled a 14-1 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 93.3% of those games).
  • The Mercury have won five, or 41.7%, of the 12 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
  • When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -165 or shorter, the Sun have a 13-1 record (winning 92.9% of their games).
  • This season, the Mercury have won three of their 10 games, or 30%, when they’re the underdog by at least +140 on the moneyline.
  • The Sun have a 62.3% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
  • The Mercury have a 41.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Top Sun Props

    Name Points O/U Rebounds O/U Assists O/U
    DeWanna Bonner 17.5 6.5
    DiJonai Carrington 13.5 5.5
    Brionna Jones 13.5 5.5
    Alyssa Thomas 12.5 9.5 7.5
    Tyasha Harris 10.5 3.5

    Top Mercury Props

    Name Points O/U Rebounds O/U Assists O/U
    Kahleah Copper 19.5 4.5
    Brittney Griner 18.5 7.5
    Diana Taurasi 14.5 4.5 3.5
    Natasha Cloud 10.5 3.5 6.5
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