The Phoenix Mercury (9-9) will turn to Kahleah Copper (21.8 points per game, third in WNBA) when they try to take down DeWanna Bonner (16.7, 12th) and the Connecticut Sun (14-4) on Monday, July 1, 2024 at Footprint Center. It tips at 10:00 PM ET.
Looking to make an informed wager on Monday’s game? Find out the best bets available in this matchup (based on our computer predictions) below.
Pick the Mercury (+3.5) to Cover
The Sun have covered the spread seven times in 18 games with a set spread.
The Mercury have covered the spread in a matchup 11 times this season (11-7-0).
The Sun are 6-8 ATS when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
In games this year when an underdog by 3.5 points or more, the Mercury have gone 7-4 against the spread.
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Take the Over (157.5)
The Sun and their opponents have combined to score more than 157.5 points in nine of 18 games this season.
The Mercury have combined with their opponent to score more than 157.5 points in 14 of 18 games this season.
These two teams rack up 162.2 points per game between them, 4.7 more than this game’s over/under.
Opponents of these teams put up 157.9 combined points per game, 0.4 more points than this contest’s over/under.
The average total in Sun matchups this year is 158.4, 0.9 more points than this game’s over/under.
The average total for Mercury games this season has been 167.7, 10.2 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
Back the Sun on the Moneyline (-165)
The Sun have compiled a 14-1 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 93.3% of those games).
The Mercury have won five, or 41.7%, of the 12 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -165 or shorter, the Sun have a 13-1 record (winning 92.9% of their games).
This season, the Mercury have won three of their 10 games, or 30%, when they’re the underdog by at least +140 on the moneyline.
The Sun have a 62.3% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
The Mercury have a 41.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
Top Sun Props
Name |
Points O/U |
Rebounds O/U |
Assists O/U |
DeWanna Bonner |
17.5 |
6.5 |
– |
DiJonai Carrington |
13.5 |
5.5 |
– |
Brionna Jones |
13.5 |
5.5 |
– |
Alyssa Thomas |
12.5 |
9.5 |
7.5 |
Tyasha Harris |
10.5 |
– |
3.5 |
Top Mercury Props
Name |
Points O/U |
Rebounds O/U |
Assists O/U |
Kahleah Copper |
19.5 |
4.5 |
– |
Brittney Griner |
18.5 |
7.5 |
– |
Diana Taurasi |
14.5 |
4.5 |
3.5 |
Natasha Cloud |
10.5 |
3.5 |
6.5 |
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