Cubs vs. Phillies Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, July 2, 2024

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Following a four-hit effort in a win over the Marlins, Nicholas Castellanos leads the Philadelphia Phillies (55-29) into action as +102 underdogs against the Chicago Cubs (39-46). First pitch from Wrigley Field at 8:05 PM ET on Tuesday, live on MARQ.

Hayden Wesneski gets the starting nod for Chicago while Michael Mercado is Philadelphia’s starter for the contest.

Cubs vs. Phillies Odds

  • Cubs odds to win: -119
  • Phillies odds to win: +102
  • Spread: Cubs -1.5
  • Total: 9.5 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Tuesday, July 2, 2024
  • Time: 8:05 PM ET
  • TV: MARQ
  • Who Will Win Cubs vs. Phillies?

    Cubs and Phillies Betting Trends

    The Cubs have won 20 of the 40 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (50%).

    Chicago has gone 16-12 when playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -119 or shorter (57.1% winning percentage).

    The Phillies have entered the game as underdogs 12 times this season and won six, or 50%, of those games.

    Philadelphia has a record of 3-6, a 33.3% win rate, when it’s set as an underdog of +102 or more by oddsmakers this season.

    The Cubs have combined with opponents to go over the total 36 times this season for a 36-45-4 record against the over/under.

    So far this season, the Phillies and their opponents have hit the over in 36 of their 84 games with a total.

    Cubs Stats & Insights

    The Cubs are the 20th-highest scoring team in MLB action averaging 4.1 runs per game (347 total).

    Chicago averages one home run per game to rank 19th in MLB play with 82 total home runs.

    The Cubs have the 25th-ranked batting average in the majors (.228).

    Chicago strikes out 8.9 times per game, the No. 25 mark in MLB.

    The Cubs pitching staff ranks third in MLB with a collective nine strikeouts per nine innings.

    Chicago has the 14th-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (3.98).

    Phillies Stats & Insights

    The Phillies are among the highest scoring teams in the majors, ranking fourth with 420 total runs this season.

    Philadelphia ranks fifth in Major League Baseball with 99 home runs.

    The Phillies rank third in MLB with a .259 team batting average.

    Philadelphia ranks 16th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 8.3 Ks per contest.

    The Phillies strike out nine batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, third-best in MLB.

    Philadelphia has the first-best ERA (3.08) in the majors this season.

    Cubs Key Players to Watch

    Wesneski makes the start for the Cubs, his fifth of the season. He is 2-4 with a 3.60 ERA and 44 strikeouts in 45 2/3 innings pitched.

    Ian Happ has been key for Chicago with 64 hits, an OBP of .345 plus a slugging percentage of .419.

    Nico Hoerner has 70 hits and an OBP of .334 to go with a slugging percentage of .348 this season.

    Christopher Morel leads Chicago in home runs with 15 and runs batted in with 45.

    Cody Bellinger leads Chicago in batting average (.267) this season while adding nine home runs and 34 RBI.

    Phillies Key Players to Watch

    Mercado gets the nod for the Phillies and will make his first start of the season.

    Alec Bohm has put up a team-best 68 runs batted in.

    Bryson Stott has 11 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 36 walks while batting .243.

    Castellanos is batting .231 with 13 doubles, two triples, 11 home runs and 24 walks.

    Trea Turner is batting .332 with 14 doubles, three home runs and 12 walks.

    Cubs and Phillies Injuries

    Cubs: Mike Tauchman: 10 Day IL (Groin), Jordan Wicks: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Mark Leiter Jr.: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Ben Brown: 15 Day IL (Neck), Keegan Thompson: 15 Day IL (Rib), Javier Assad: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Daniel Palencia: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Julian Merryweather: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Yency Almonte: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Caleb Kilian: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Adbert Alzolay: 60 Day IL (Forearm)

    Phillies: Bryce Harper: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), J.T. Realmuto: 10 Day IL (Knee), Kyle Schwarber: 10 Day IL (Groin), Spencer Turnbull: 15 Day IL (Back), Taijuan Walker: 15 Day IL (Index finger), Luis Ortiz: 15 Day IL (Ankle), Dylan Covey: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Michael Rucker: 60 Day IL (Hand)

    Cubs vs. Phillies Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Cubs 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Cubs vs. Phillies

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