Pirates vs. Cardinals Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, July 2, 2024

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Mitch Keller will take the mound for the Pittsburgh Pirates (40-43) Tuesday looking for his 10th win of the season in a matchup with the St. Louis Cardinals (43-40). The Pirates are -125 favorites to pick up the win in the contest, which starts at 6:40 PM ET on BSMW, live from PNC Park.

Pittsburgh’s Keller gets the start, and he’ll go against St. Louis’ Kyle Gibson.

Pirates vs. Cardinals Odds

  • Pirates odds to win: -125
  • Cardinals odds to win: +106
  • Spread: Pirates -1.5
  • Total: 8 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Tuesday, July 2, 2024
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • TV: BSMW
  • Who Will Win Pirates vs. Cardinals?

    Pirates and Cardinals Betting Trends

    The Pirates have won 46.9% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (15-17).

    Pittsburgh has a 9-11 record (winning 45% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -125 or shorter.

    The Cardinals have entered the game as underdogs 41 times this season and won 20, or 48.8%, of those games.

    St. Louis has a record of 11-17 in games where oddsmakers have it as underdogs of at least +106 on the moneyline.

    The Pirates have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 38 times this season for a 38-44-1 record against the over/under.

    The Cardinals and their opponents have hit the over in 36 of their 82 games with a total this season.

    Pirates Stats & Insights

    The Pirates have the No. 25 offense in MLB action scoring four runs per game (333 total runs).

    Pittsburgh averages 0.9 home runs per game to rank 24th in baseball with 78 total home runs.

    The Pirates are 25th in the majors with a .228 batting average.

    Pittsburgh’s 9.5 strikeouts per game are the fourth-most in MLB.

    The Pirates pitching staff is 16th in MLB with a collective 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings.

    Pittsburgh’s 3.98 team ERA ranks 14th across all MLB pitching staffs.

    Cardinals Stats & Insights

    The Cardinals have scored 328 runs (just four per game) this season, which ranks 27th in MLB.

    St. Louis has hit 79 homers this season, which ranks 22nd in the majors.

    The Cardinals have a team batting average of .238 this season, which ranks 17th among MLB teams.

    St. Louis ranks 17th in strikeouts per game (8.5) among MLB offenses.

    The Cardinals average the 20th-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.4) in the majors this season.

    St. Louis pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.90 ERA this year, which ranks 12th in MLB.

    Pirates Key Players to Watch

    Keller tries for his 10th victory when he makes the start for the Pirates, his 17th of the season. He is 9-4 with a 3.20 ERA and 91 strikeouts in 98 1/3 innings pitched.

    Bryan Reynolds leads Pittsburgh in home runs with 13, runs batted in with 46 and his batting average of .275 is also best on his team.

    Connor Joe is batting .248 with an OBP of .329 and a slugging percentage of .407 this season.

    Andrew McCutchen has 61 hits this season and a slash line of .232/.331/.392.

    Oneil Cruz has collected 67 hits this season and has an OBP of .294. He’s slugging .429 on the year.

    Cardinals Key Players to Watch

    Gibson (5-3) will take the mound for the Cardinals, his 16th start of the season.

    Brendan Donovan has accumulated a team-best 41 runs batted in.

    Alec Burleson is batting .278 with 11 doubles, 12 home runs and 11 walks.

    Nolan Arenado has 13 doubles, seven home runs and 21 walks while hitting .259.

    Masyn Winn’s .286 batting average is a team-high mark.

    Pirates and Cardinals Injuries

    Pirates: David Bednar: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Hunter Stratton: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Quinn Priester: 15 Day IL (Undisclosed), Marco Gonzales: 60 Day IL (Forearm), Ryan Borucki: 60 Day IL (Tricep), Dauri Moreta: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Johan Oviedo: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Endy Rodriguez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Henry Davis: 7 Day IL (Head), Dennis Santana: day-to-day (Arm)

    Cardinals: Iván Herrera: 10 Day IL (Back), Lars Nootbaar: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Nick Robertson: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Riley O’Brien: 60 Day IL (Forearm), Drew Rom: 60 Day IL (Biceps), Steven Matz: 60 Day IL (Back), Tommy Edman: 60 Day IL (Wrist), Keynan Middleton: 60 Day IL (Forearm)

    Pirates vs. Cardinals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Pirates 4, Cardinals 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
  • How to Bet on Pirates vs. Cardinals

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