A pair of the league’s top scorers match up — Kahleah Copper (third, 21.8 points per game) and Arike Ogunbowale (second, 23.7) — when the Phoenix Mercury (9-10) visit the Dallas Wings (4-15) on Wednesday, July 3, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET.
If you are looking to make an informed wager on Wednesday’s game, see the best bets available in this matchup, in this article (based on our computer predictions).
Pick the Wings (+4.5) to Cover
The Mercury have covered the spread 11 times in 19 games with a set spread.
The Wings have covered the spread five times this year (5-14-0).
In games they have played as 4.5-point favorites or more, the Mercury have an ATS record of 2-3.
The Wings have an ATS record of 4-8 when playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs.
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Take the Under (171.5)
The Mercury and their opponents have gone over 171.5 combined points in six of 19 games this season.
The Wings have played seven games this season that have gone over 171.5 combined points scored.
The teams average 161.6 points per game combined, 9.9 fewer than this matchup’s total.
Combined, these teams surrender 172.8 points per game, 1.3 more points than this matchup’s total.
The Mercury have an average point total of 167.1 in their contests this year, 4.4 fewer points than this game’s over/under.
The Wings have had an average of 163.7 points scored in their games so far this season, 7.8 points fewer than this game’s over/under.
Back the Mercury on the Moneyline (-189)
The Mercury have put together a 4-2 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 66.7% of those games).
This season, the Wings have been the underdog 15 times and won three, or 20%, of those games.
When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -189 or shorter, the Mercury have a record of 3-2 (60%).
This season, the Wings have won two of their 12 games, or 16.7%, when they’re the underdog by at least +155 on the moneyline.
Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Mercury have an implied win probability of 65.4%.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 39.2% chance of a victory for the Wings.
Top Mercury Props
Name |
Points O/U |
Rebounds O/U |
Assists O/U |
Kahleah Copper |
21.5 |
4.5 |
– |
Brittney Griner |
19.5 |
6.5 |
– |
Natasha Cloud |
11.5 |
3.5 |
7.5 |
Top Wings Props
Name |
Points O/U |
Rebounds O/U |
Assists O/U |
Natasha Howard |
15.5 |
7.5 |
– |
Teaira McCowan |
11.5 |
7.5 |
– |
Arike Ogunbowale |
|
5.5 |
4.5 |
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