Mercury vs Wings: Best Bets, Player Props & Computer Picks – July 3

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A pair of the league’s top scorers match up — Kahleah Copper (third, 21.8 points per game) and Arike Ogunbowale (second, 23.7) — when the Phoenix Mercury (9-10) visit the Dallas Wings (4-15) on Wednesday, July 3, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET.

If you are looking to make an informed wager on Wednesday’s game, see the best bets available in this matchup, in this article (based on our computer predictions).

Pick the Wings (+4.5) to Cover

  • The Mercury have covered the spread 11 times in 19 games with a set spread.
  • The Wings have covered the spread five times this year (5-14-0).
  • In games they have played as 4.5-point favorites or more, the Mercury have an ATS record of 2-3.
  • The Wings have an ATS record of 4-8 when playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs.
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    Take the Under (171.5)

  • The Mercury and their opponents have gone over 171.5 combined points in six of 19 games this season.
  • The Wings have played seven games this season that have gone over 171.5 combined points scored.
  • The teams average 161.6 points per game combined, 9.9 fewer than this matchup’s total.
  • Combined, these teams surrender 172.8 points per game, 1.3 more points than this matchup’s total.
  • The Mercury have an average point total of 167.1 in their contests this year, 4.4 fewer points than this game’s over/under.
  • The Wings have had an average of 163.7 points scored in their games so far this season, 7.8 points fewer than this game’s over/under.
  • Back the Mercury on the Moneyline (-189)

  • The Mercury have put together a 4-2 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 66.7% of those games).
  • This season, the Wings have been the underdog 15 times and won three, or 20%, of those games.
  • When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -189 or shorter, the Mercury have a record of 3-2 (60%).
  • This season, the Wings have won two of their 12 games, or 16.7%, when they’re the underdog by at least +155 on the moneyline.
  • Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Mercury have an implied win probability of 65.4%.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 39.2% chance of a victory for the Wings.
  • Top Mercury Props

    Name Points O/U Rebounds O/U Assists O/U
    Kahleah Copper 21.5 4.5
    Brittney Griner 19.5 6.5
    Natasha Cloud 11.5 3.5 7.5

    Top Wings Props

    Name Points O/U Rebounds O/U Assists O/U
    Natasha Howard 15.5 7.5
    Teaira McCowan 11.5 7.5
    Arike Ogunbowale 5.5 4.5
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