Mets vs. Nationals Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, July 3, 2024

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The Washington Nationals (39-46) will try to end their three-game losing streak when they host the New York Mets (42-41) on Wednesday at 6:45 PM ET on MASN. Oddsmakers consider the Mets to be -129 favorites for the contest, while the Nationals are +110 underdogs looking for the upset.

Christian Scott starts for New York while Mitchell Parker is Washington’s starter for the contest.

Mets vs. Nationals Odds

  • Mets odds to win: -129
  • Nationals odds to win: +110
  • Spread: Mets -1.5
  • Total: 8.5 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Wednesday, July 3, 2024
  • Time: 6:45 PM ET
  • TV: MASN
  • Who Will Win Mets vs. Nationals?

    Mets and Nationals Betting Trends

    The Mets have been favored on the moneyline 44 total times this season. They’ve finished 23-21 in those games.

    New York has a record of 11-10 when playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -129 or shorter (52.4% winning percentage).

    The Nationals have won 31, or 44.3%, of the 70 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

    Washington has entered 63 games this season as the underdog by +110 or more and is 27-36 in those contests.

    The Mets have played in 83 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 44 times (44-36-3).

    Games involving the Nationals have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 39 of 85 chances this season.

    Mets Stats & Insights

    The Mets score the eighth-most runs in baseball (409 total, 4.9 per game).

    New York averages 1.3 home runs per game to rank fourth in MLB action with 106 total home runs.

    The Mets have the ninth-best batting average in the majors (.250).

    New York strikes out eight times per game to rank ninth in MLB.

    The Mets pitching staff is seventh in the majors with a collective 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings.

    New York’s 4.13 team ERA ranks 21st among all MLB pitching staffs.

    Nationals Stats & Insights

    The Nationals have scored 350 runs (4.1 per game) this season, which ranks 21st in MLB.

    Washington ranks 29th in Major League Baseball with just 68 home runs as a team.

    The Nationals’ .235 batting average ranks 21st in the league this season.

    Washington is one of the best teams in baseball at making contact this season, ranking seventh with an average of 7.7 strikeouts per game.

    The Nationals strike out 8.3 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 22nd in MLB.

    Washington pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.03 ERA this year, which ranks 16th in MLB.

    Mets Key Players to Watch

    Scott (0-2 with a 3.90 ERA and 25 strikeouts in 27 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Mets, his sixth of the season.

    Francisco Lindor is batting .249 with 14 home runs and 41 RBI for New York this season.

    Pete Alonso is slugging .478 this season, with a team-best 18 homers while driving in 48 runs.

    Brandon Nimmo leads New York in RBI with 52 while batting .251 with 13 home runs.

    Harrison Bader has collected 63 hits this season and has an OBP of .316. He’s slugging .408 on the year.

    Nationals Key Players to Watch

    The Nationals’ Parker (5-4) will make his 15th start of the season.

    C.J. Abrams leads the Nationals in home runs (13), runs batted in (43) and has racked up a team-best batting average of .286.

    Jesse Winker has 12 doubles, nine home runs and 43 walks while batting .261.

    Luis Garcia is hitting .257 with 14 doubles, seven home runs and 12 walks.

    Lane Thomas has eight doubles, three triples, eight home runs and 20 walks while batting .234.

    Mets and Nationals Injuries

    Mets: Starling Marte: 10 Day IL (Knee), Sean Reid-Foley: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Drew Smith: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Brooks Raley: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Shintaro Fujinami: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Ronny Mauricio: 60 Day IL (Knee), Kodai Senga: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Nationals: Joey Gallo: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Trevor Williams: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Josiah Gray: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Mason Thompson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Cade Cavalli: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Jose Ferrer: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Mets vs. Nationals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Nationals 5, Mets 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Mets vs. Nationals

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