NEWSLETTER
The Boston Red Sox (45-39), led by the red-hot Jarren Duran and his three-game homer streak, are -128 favorites to pick up a win over the Miami Marlins (30-55) Wednesday at 6:40 PM ET, live from LoanDepot park and broadcast on BSFL.
Boston’s Brayan Bello gets the start, and he’ll go against Miami’s Trevor Rogers.
Red Sox vs. Marlins Odds
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Who Will Win Red Sox vs. Marlins?
Red Sox and Marlins Betting Trends
The Red Sox have won 57.1% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (24-18).
In games it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -128 or shorter, Boston has gone 17-10 (63%).
This season, the Marlins have been the underdog 70 times and won 27, or 38.6%, of those games.
Miami is 22-36 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +109 or more on the moneyline.
The Red Sox have played in 84 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 40 times (40-39-5).
The Marlins’ games have gone over the total in 44 of their 85 chances.
Red Sox Stats & Insights
The Red Sox have the No. 13 offense in MLB play scoring 4.6 runs per game (389 total runs).
Boston is 11th in MLB with 96 total home runs.
The Red Sox have the seventh-best batting average in the majors (.253).
Boston’s batters strike out 9.4 times per game, the 26th-most in MLB.
The pitching staff for the Red Sox has a collective 8.7 K/9, the ninth-best in MLB.
Boston has the seventh-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (3.62).
Marlins Stats & Insights
The Marlins have scored the 29th-most runs in the league this season with just 296 (3.5 per game).
Miami ranks 29th in Major League Baseball with just 68 home runs as a team.
The Marlins have a team batting average of .231 this season, which ranks 23rd among MLB teams.
Miami ranks 12th with an average of 8.1 strikeouts per game.
The Marlins average the 23rd-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.2) in the majors this season.
Miami has the 27th-ranked ERA (4.58) in the majors this season.
Red Sox Key Players to Watch
Bello (7-5) gets the starting nod for the Red Sox in his 15th start of the season. He’s put together a 5.55 ERA in 71 1/3 innings pitched, with 64 strikeouts.
Duran is batting .287 with 10 home runs and 40 RBI for Boston this season.
Rafael Devers leads Boston in home runs with 18, runs batted in with 47 and a batting average of .288.
Ceddanne Rafaela has 69 hits this season and a slash line of .240/.268/.394.
Tyler O’Neill has 55 hits and an OBP of .352 to go with a slugging percentage of .528 this season.
Marlins Key Players to Watch
The Marlins will send Rogers (1-8) to the mound for his 17th start this season.
Jazz Chisholm paces the Marlins with a team-high batting average of .256.
Bryan De La Cruz’s 15 home runs and 40 runs batted in both lead his team.
Josh Bell is batting .239 with 15 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 24 walks.
Jesus Sanchez has 10 doubles, eight home runs and 15 walks while hitting .231.
Red Sox and Marlins Injuries
Red Sox: Vaughn Grissom: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Bryan Mata: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Lucas Giolito: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Chris Murphy: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Triston Casas: 60 Day IL (Rib), Liam Hendriks: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Garrett Whitlock: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Trevor Story: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)
Marlins: Ryan Weathers: 15 Day IL (Finger), Braxton Garrett: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Bryan Hoeing: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Sandy Alcantara: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Josh Simpson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Sixto Sanchez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Edward Cabrera: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Jesús Luzardo: 60 Day IL (Back), Eury Pérez: 60 Day IL (Elbow)
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