Aces vs Mystics: Best Bets, Player Props & Computer Picks – July 4

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A game after posting 34 points in an 88-69 victory over the Fever, Kelsey Plum leads the Las Vegas Aces (11-6) at home versus the Washington Mystics (5-15) on Thursday, July 4, 2024. It will tip at 10:00 PM ET.

If you are trying to gain an edge on Thursday’s game, find out the best bets available for this matchup, below (based on our computer predictions).

Pick the Mystics (+15.5) to Cover

  • The Aces have covered the spread seven times over 17 games with a set spread.
  • The Mystics are 14-6-0 against the spread this year.
  • The Aces are 1-2 ATS when playing as at least 15.5-point favorites.
  • The Mystics have a perfect 1-0 ATS record when playing as at least 15.5-point underdogs.
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    Take the Under (172.5)

  • Aces games this season have featured more combined points than this contest’s total of 172.5 points eight times.
  • The Mystics have played three games this season that ended with a point total above 172.5 points.
  • These teams rack up a combined 167.1 points per game, 5.4 fewer points than this matchup’s total.
  • These teams surrender 166 points per game combined, 6.5 points fewer than this matchup’s total.
  • The average total in Aces matchups this year is 170.3, 2.2 fewer points than this game’s over/under.
  • The Mystics have had an average of 160.5 points scored in their games so far this season, 12.0 points fewer than this game’s over/under.
  • Back the Aces on the Moneyline (-1667)

  • The Aces have gone 11-6 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 64.7% of those games).
  • The Mystics have entered the game as underdogs 19 times this season and won four, or 21.1%, of those games.
  • The Aces have won all three games they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -1667 or shorter.
  • The Mystics have not entered a game this season as a bigger underdog on the moneyline than the +900 odds on them winning this game.
  • The Aces have an implied moneyline win probability of 94.3% in this game.
  • The Mystics have a 10.0% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Top Aces Props

    Name Points O/U Rebounds O/U Assists O/U
    A’ja Wilson 26.5 10.5
    Jackie Young 19.5 4.5 4.5
    Kelsey Plum 18.5 5.5

    Top Mystics Props

    Name Points O/U Rebounds O/U Assists O/U
    Ariel Atkins 13.5 3.5 4.5
    Myisha Hines-Allen 11.5 5.5
    Julie Vanloo 5.5
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