A game after posting 34 points in an 88-69 victory over the Fever, Kelsey Plum leads the Las Vegas Aces (11-6) at home versus the Washington Mystics (5-15) on Thursday, July 4, 2024. It will tip at 10:00 PM ET.
If you are trying to gain an edge on Thursday’s game, find out the best bets available for this matchup, below (based on our computer predictions).
Pick the Mystics (+15.5) to Cover
The Aces have covered the spread seven times over 17 games with a set spread.
The Mystics are 14-6-0 against the spread this year.
The Aces are 1-2 ATS when playing as at least 15.5-point favorites.
The Mystics have a perfect 1-0 ATS record when playing as at least 15.5-point underdogs.
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Take the Under (172.5)
Aces games this season have featured more combined points than this contest’s total of 172.5 points eight times.
The Mystics have played three games this season that ended with a point total above 172.5 points.
These teams rack up a combined 167.1 points per game, 5.4 fewer points than this matchup’s total.
These teams surrender 166 points per game combined, 6.5 points fewer than this matchup’s total.
The average total in Aces matchups this year is 170.3, 2.2 fewer points than this game’s over/under.
The Mystics have had an average of 160.5 points scored in their games so far this season, 12.0 points fewer than this game’s over/under.
Back the Aces on the Moneyline (-1667)
The Aces have gone 11-6 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 64.7% of those games).
The Mystics have entered the game as underdogs 19 times this season and won four, or 21.1%, of those games.
The Aces have won all three games they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -1667 or shorter.
The Mystics have not entered a game this season as a bigger underdog on the moneyline than the +900 odds on them winning this game.
The Aces have an implied moneyline win probability of 94.3% in this game.
The Mystics have a 10.0% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
Top Aces Props
Name |
Points O/U |
Rebounds O/U |
Assists O/U |
A’ja Wilson |
26.5 |
10.5 |
– |
Jackie Young |
19.5 |
4.5 |
4.5 |
Kelsey Plum |
18.5 |
– |
5.5 |
Top Mystics Props
Name |
Points O/U |
Rebounds O/U |
Assists O/U |
Ariel Atkins |
13.5 |
3.5 |
4.5 |
Myisha Hines-Allen |
11.5 |
5.5 |
– |
Julie Vanloo |
|
– |
5.5 |
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