Braves vs. Giants Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, July 4, 2024

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The Atlanta Braves (47-37) are -132 favorites to take Game 3 of th series from the San Francisco Giants (42-45) Thursday at 7:20 PM ET. The teams enter the matchup with the series record tied, and the underdog Giants are listed with +113 odds to win the rubber match and take the series victory.

Charlie Morton will get the ball for Atlanta while San Francisco will counter with Logan Webb.

Braves vs. Giants Odds

  • Braves odds to win: -132
  • Giants odds to win: +113
  • Spread: Braves -1.5
  • Total: 8 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Thursday, July 4, 2024
  • Time: 7:20 PM ET
  • TV: MLB Network
  • Who Will Win Braves vs. Giants?

    Braves and Giants Betting Trends

    The Braves are 44-31 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 58.7% of those games).

    When playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -132 or shorter, Atlanta has a 39-24 record (winning 61.9% of its games).

    The Giants have won 18, or 40%, of the 45 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

    San Francisco has a record of 8-15, a 34.8% win rate, when it’s set as an underdog of +113 or more by bookmakers this season.

    The Braves have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 84 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 29 of those games (29-51-4).

    The Giants and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 48 of their 87 opportunities.

    Braves Stats & Insights

    The Braves have the No. 19 offense in MLB play scoring 4.3 runs per game (360 total runs).

    Atlanta is 14th in baseball with 91 total home runs.

    The Braves rank 16th in MLB with a .243 batting average.

    Atlanta strikes out 8.8 times per game to rank 19th in baseball.

    The Braves pitching staff is first in MLB with a collective 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings.

    Atlanta has a 3.48 team ERA that ranks third across all MLB pitching staffs.

    Giants Stats & Insights

    The Giants rank 14th in the majors with 386 total runs scored this season.

    San Francisco has hit 87 homers this season, which ranks 17th in the majors.

    The Giants’ .247 batting average ranks 11th in the league this season.

    San Francisco ranks 14th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 8.2 Ks per contest.

    The Giants strike out 8.7 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, ninth-best in MLB.

    San Francisco has pitched to a 4.48 ERA this season, which ranks 25th in baseball.

    Braves Key Players to Watch

    Morton makes the start for the Braves, his 16th of the season. He is 5-4 with a 3.89 ERA and 87 strikeouts in 85 2/3 innings pitched.

    Marcell Ozuna is batting .297 with 21 home runs and 67 RBI. All three of those stats are tops among Atlanta hitters this season.

    Ozzie Albies has collected 78 hits this season and has an OBP of .310. He’s slugging .394 on the year.

    Austin Riley has 69 hits this season and a slash line of .254/.326/.434.

    Matt Olson has collected 75 hits this season and has an OBP of .318. He’s slugging .422 on the year.

    Giants Key Players to Watch

    The Giants’ Webb (6-6) will make his 19th start of the season.

    Matt Chapman has put up a team-best batting average of .242, while pacing the Giants in home runs (11) and runs batted in (40).

    Jorge Soler is batting .230 with 18 doubles, 10 home runs and 29 walks.

    Heliot Ramos leads the Giants with 11 home runs.

    Patrick Bailey is batting .284 with 11 doubles, six home runs and 25 walks.

    Braves and Giants Injuries

    Braves: Michael Harris II: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Brian Anderson: 10 Day IL (Bacterial infection), Hurston Waldrep: 15 Day IL (Elbow), AJ Smith-Shawver: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Jimmy Herget: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Raymond Kerr: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Spencer Strider: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Angel Perdomo: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tyler Matzek: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Huascar Ynoa: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Ronald Acuña Jr.: 60 Day IL (Knee), Ramón Laureano: day-to-day (Back), Orlando Arcia: day-to-day (Tooth)

    Giants: Wilmer Flores: 10 Day IL (Undisclosed), Thairo Estrada: 10 Day IL (Undisclosed), Blake Snell: 15 Day IL (Groin), Keaton Winn: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Kyle Harrison: 15 Day IL (Ankle), Tom Murphy: 60 Day IL (Head), Jung Hoo Lee: 60 Day IL (Labrum), Alex Cobb: 60 Day IL (Hip), Robbie Ray: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Austin Warren: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Ethan Small: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Tristan Beck: 60 Day IL (Arm)

    Braves vs. Giants Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Braves 5, Giants 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • How to Bet on Braves vs. Giants

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